Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Alvechurch and Anstey Nomads meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Alvechurch have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Anstey Nomads have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Alvechurch and 1.15 for Anstey Nomads. The models give Alvechurch a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Anstey Nomads win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Alvechurch—
Anstey Nomads5º
Position
8º
1.91
PPG
1.73
55%
Win %
45%
1.64
Goals / game
1.82
0.55
Conceded / game
1.45
50%
BTTS %
80%
40%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Alvechurch
Home (6)
—
Anstey Nomads
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
1.83
Goals / game
1.50
0.33
Conceded / game
1.83
40%
BTTS %
89%
50%
Clean sheet %
11%
40%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Anstey Nomads | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 67% | 83% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 30% | 20% | 40% | 33% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Anstey Nomads | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 70% | 80% | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 10% | 30% | 40% | 33% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 30% | 20% | 33% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alvechurch | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 27% |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alvechurch | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 87% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Alvechurch (H)L
Bury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1D
Stourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0L
Bourne Town1–2
Bourne Town1–2W
Racing Club Warwick3–1
Racing Club Warwick3–1W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0W
Wolverhampton City2–0
Wolverhampton City2–0Anstey Nomads (A)D
Needham Market1–1
Needham Market1–1W
Gainsborough Trinity3–2
Gainsborough Trinity3–2L
Kettering Town1–4
Kettering Town1–4W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1WRacing Club Warwick3–2
Racing Club Warwick3–2W
Sileby Rangers4–0
Sileby Rangers4–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Alvechurch
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Anstey Nomads
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
22/09/26Alvechurch
Anstey Nomads
2–2Alvechurch31/08/24Alvechurch
Anstey Nomads
3–1Alvechurch07/10/23Alvechurch
Anstey Nomads
0–1Alvechurch| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 27 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 |  Peterborough Sports | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Rushall Olympic | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Kettering Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 | Stourbridge | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Halesowen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Leamington | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 |  Stratford Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 |  Banbury United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -25 | 1 |
Team Insights
Alvechurch- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
Anstey Nomads- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Anstey Nomads's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Anstey Nomads have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AlvechurchDAHalesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1LHBury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1DHStourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0DAAnstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0WARushall Olympic1–0
Rushall Olympic1–0–HBromsgrove Sporting20/10
Bromsgrove Sporting20/10–AStratford Town24/10
Stratford Town24/10–HAnstey Nomads27/10
Anstey Nomads27/10Anstey NomadsWHRushall Olympic3–2
Rushall Olympic3–2DANeedham Market1–1
Needham Market1–1LAKettering Town1–4
Kettering Town1–4DHAlvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2WARacing Club Warwick3–2
Racing Club Warwick3–2WHBanbury United3–0
Banbury United3–0–AStourbridge20/10
Stourbridge20/10–AAlvechurch27/10
Alvechurch27/10–HBishop's Stortford31/10
Bishop's Stortford31/10Top Scorers
AlvechurchM. Okafor7 ⚽
E. Ilesanmi5 ⚽
K. Wakefield3 ⚽
J. Osborne2 ⚽
J. Bavanganga1 ⚽
C. Sullivan1 ⚽
Anstey NomadsT. Liversidge5 ⚽
L. Rose4 ⚽
C. Grantham3 ⚽
H. Kirby-Moore2 ⚽
K. Bastos2 ⚽
L. Gibbens1 ⚽
Cards Given
AlvechurchK. Wakefield1 🟨
Anstey Nomads