Needham Market vs Leighton Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Needham Market and Leighton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Needham Market have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Leighton Town have won 8% of their 12 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Needham Market and 1.26 for Leighton Town. The models give Needham Market a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Leighton Town win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Needham Market—
Leighton Town9º
Position
21º
1.55
PPG
0.50
45%
Win %
10%
2.18
Goals / game
1.30
1.55
Conceded / game
2.20
53%
BTTS %
83%
29%
Clean sheet %
0%
65%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Needham Market
Home (6)
—
Leighton Town
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
0.17
33%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
2.17
63%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Needham Market | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 88% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 63% | 56% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 44% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 13% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Needham Market | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 38% | 33% | 67% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 38% | 22% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Needham Market | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 42% |
| BTTS | 53% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Needham Market | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 83% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 92% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Needham Market (H)D
Anstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0D
Braintree3–3
Braintree3–3W
Worcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0W
Stanway Rovers3–1
Stanway Rovers3–1D
Peterborough Sports3–3
Peterborough Sports3–3Leighton Town (A)L
Stourbridge1–2
Stourbridge1–2L
Hitchin Town0–1
Hitchin Town0–1L
Newmarket1–2
Newmarket1–2L
Halesowen Town2–4
Halesowen Town2–4L
Real Bedford2–3
Real Bedford2–3LAnstey Nomads0–2
Anstey Nomads0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 27 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 | Peterborough Sports | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |  Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Rushall Olympic | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 | Stourbridge | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 | Halesowen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Leamington | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 |  Stratford Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 |  Banbury United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -25 | 1 |
Team Insights
Needham Market- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Leighton Town- ●Leighton Town have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Needham MarketWABury Town5–0
Bury Town5–0DHAnstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1LARushall Olympic3–5
Rushall Olympic3–5WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0WHWorcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0DHPeterborough Sports3–3
Peterborough Sports3–3–ALeamington17/10
Leamington17/10–HBishop's Stortford20/10
Bishop's Stortford20/10–HLeighton Town27/10
Leighton Town27/10Leighton TownLAStourbridge1–2
Stourbridge1–2LHPeterborough Sports2–4
Peterborough Sports2–4LAHitchin Town0–1
Hitchin Town0–1LAHalesowen Town2–4
Halesowen Town2–4LAReal Bedford2–3
Real Bedford2–3LHBury Town2–3
Bury Town2–3–HRushall Olympic17/10
Rushall Olympic17/10–ABanbury United20/10
Banbury United20/10–HRacing Club Warwick24/10
Racing Club Warwick24/10Top Scorers
Needham MarketR. Miles6 ⚽
L. Pearce6 ⚽
K. Hammond3 ⚽
L. Ingram2 ⚽
T. Allen2 ⚽
D. Morphew2 ⚽
Leighton TownS. Ibie3 ⚽
S. King2 ⚽
S. Vukoje2 ⚽
J. Odell-Bature1 ⚽
K. Williams1 ⚽
A. Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
Needham MarketD. Morphew1 🟨
Leighton TownK. Williams2 🟨