Real Bedford vs Stourbridge — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Real Bedford and Stourbridge meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Real Bedford have recorded 12 wins from 18 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 3.33 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 83% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Stourbridge have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Real Bedford and 1.36 for Stourbridge. The models give Real Bedford a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Stourbridge win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Real Bedford—
Stourbridge1º
Position
12º
2.80
PPG
1.30
90%
Win %
30%
3.00
Goals / game
1.10
1.10
Conceded / game
1.30
83%
BTTS %
64%
11%
Clean sheet %
14%
83%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Bedford
Home (6)
—
Stourbridge
Away (4)
2.67
PPG
1.50
83%
Win %
25%
3.17
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
0.75
92%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
92%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Bedford | Home | Away | Stourbridge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 92% | 100% | 71% | 63% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 89% | 83% | 100% | 43% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 61% | 67% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 8% | 0% | 29% | 38% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Bedford | Home | Away | Stourbridge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 67% | 86% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 17% | 43% | 63% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 33% | 17% | 29% | 38% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 13% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Bedford | Stourbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 61% | 21% |
| BTTS | 83% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 56% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Bedford | Stourbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 61% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 78% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Bedford (H)D
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1W
Leiston3–2
Leiston3–2L
Wingate & Finchley0–3
Wingate & Finchley0–3W
Redditch United2–1
Redditch United2–1W
Royston Town4–1
Royston Town4–1W
Leighton Town3–2
Leighton Town3–2Stourbridge (A)D
Alvechurch0–0
Alvechurch0–0W
Rushall Olympic3–1
Rushall Olympic3–1D
Hitchin Town1–1
Hitchin Town1–1D
Banbury United1–1
Banbury United1–1W
Peterborough Sports2–1
Peterborough Sports2–1D
Halesowen Town3–3
Halesowen Town3–3Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Real Bedford
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Stourbridge
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
22/09/26Real Bedford
Stourbridge
1–4Real Bedford21/02/26Real Bedford
Stourbridge
2–1Real Bedford21/10/25Stourbridge
Real Bedford
3–1Stourbridge| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 | Alvechurch | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 6 |  Kettering Town | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 8 |  Anstey Nomads | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Redditch United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 |  Leamington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Stratford Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Worcester City | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -25 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real Bedford- ●Real Bedford have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●63% of Real Bedford's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Real Bedford's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Stourbridge- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stourbridge have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●64% of Stourbridge's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Stourbridge's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Stourbridge have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real BedfordDHBromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1WHLeiston3–2
Leiston3–2WAStourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1WHRedditch United2–1
Redditch United2–1WHLeighton Town3–2
Leighton Town3–2WAHalesowen Town2–0
Halesowen Town2–0–AStamford17/10
Stamford17/10–HBury Town20/10
Bury Town20/10–ABishop's Stortford24/10
Bishop's Stortford24/10StourbridgeWHLeighton Town2–1
Leighton Town2–1LHRacing Club Warwick0–1
Racing Club Warwick0–1DAAlvechurch0–0
Alvechurch0–0LHReal Bedford1–4
Real Bedford1–4DAHitchin Town1–1
Hitchin Town1–1LHLeamington0–2
Leamington0–2–AWorcester City13/10
Worcester City13/10–ABury Town17/10
Bury Town17/10–HAnstey Nomads20/10
Anstey Nomads20/10Top Scorers
Real BedfordJ. Allen12 ⚽
C. Tee8 ⚽
B. Stevens6 ⚽
J. Ponticelli6 ⚽
S. Cartwright3 ⚽
A. Jones2 ⚽
StourbridgeC. Pavey4 ⚽
C. Wragg3 ⚽
J. Verma2 ⚽
J. Quaynor1 ⚽
K. Pearce1 ⚽
P. Harvey1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real BedfordD. Richardson1 🟨
StourbridgeJ. Fletcher1 🟨