Leiston vs Alvechurch — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Leiston and Alvechurch meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Leiston have recorded 8 wins from 17 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Alvechurch have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Leiston and 1.38 for Alvechurch. The models give Leiston a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Alvechurch win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leiston | Home | Away | Alvechurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 71% | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 57% | 70% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 41% | 57% | 30% | 25% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 29% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Leiston | Home | Away | Alvechurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 86% | 80% | 60% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 43% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 14% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 14% | 20% | 40% | 50% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leiston | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 5% |
| BTTS | 71% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 41% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leiston | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 5% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 27 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 7 | |
| 21 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 | |
| 22 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -25 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Leiston have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leiston have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Leiston's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leiston have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.