Alvechurch vs Leighton Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Alvechurch and Leighton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Alvechurch have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Leighton Town have won 8% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Alvechurch and 1.00 for Leighton Town. The models give Alvechurch a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leighton Town win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 80% | 82% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 60% | 64% | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 20% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 73% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 10% | 36% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 46% | 67% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alvechurch | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 38% |
| BTTS | 52% | 77% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alvechurch | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 85% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 15% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 92% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | +23 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 30 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +7 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 20 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 | |
| 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 11 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 10 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 10 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 20 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 | |
| 21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 5 | |
| 22 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -29 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.