Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Bromsgrove Sporting and Leiston meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Bromsgrove Sporting have recorded 15 wins from 20 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.15 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Leiston have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Bromsgrove Sporting and 1.29 for Leiston. The models give Bromsgrove Sporting a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leiston win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Bromsgrove Sporting—
Leiston3º
Position
13º
2.36
PPG
1.20
73%
Win %
30%
1.82
Goals / game
1.70
0.91
Conceded / game
1.70
55%
BTTS %
71%
40%
Clean sheet %
18%
60%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bromsgrove Sporting
Home (6)
—
Leiston
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
17%
1.67
Goals / game
1.67
0.83
Conceded / game
1.83
45%
BTTS %
80%
45%
Clean sheet %
20%
64%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bromsgrove Sporting | Home | Away | Leiston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 91% | 100% | 76% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 64% | 56% | 65% | 57% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 27% | 33% | 41% | 57% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 9% | 0% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Bromsgrove Sporting | Home | Away | Leiston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 55% | 67% | 82% | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 9% | 33% | 41% | 43% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 14% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 45% | 33% | 18% | 14% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bromsgrove Sporting | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 24% |
| BTTS | 55% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bromsgrove Sporting | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 65% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Bromsgrove Sporting (H)W
Kettering Town2–1
Kettering Town2–1D
Leamington1–1
Leamington1–1W
Leek Town2–1
Leek Town2–1W
Bury Town1–0
Bury Town1–0W
Nuneaton Town2–0
Nuneaton Town2–0W
Bishop's Stortford3–0
Bishop's Stortford3–0Leiston (A)D
Racing Club Warwick0–0
Racing Club Warwick0–0L
Real Bedford2–3
Real Bedford2–3W
Hitchin Town2–1
Hitchin Town2–1W
Banbury United2–1
Banbury United2–1D
Grays Athletic0–0
Grays Athletic0–0LBury Town3–4
Bury Town3–4Head to Head · 8 matches
2
Bromsgrove Sporting
25%
3
Draws
38%
3
Leiston
38%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
14/02/26Bromsgrove Sporting
Leiston
1–1Bromsgrove Sporting01/11/25Leiston
Bromsgrove Sporting
2–1Leiston18/01/25Leiston
Bromsgrove Sporting
0–1Leiston09/11/24Bromsgrove Sporting
Leiston
0–0Bromsgrove Sporting16/12/23Leiston
Bromsgrove Sporting
0–0Leiston19/08/23Bromsgrove Sporting
Leiston
2–3Bromsgrove Sporting18/03/23Bromsgrove Sporting
Leiston
3–2Bromsgrove Sporting15/10/22Leiston
Bromsgrove Sporting
1–7Leiston| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +6 | 27 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 |  Peterborough Sports | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |  Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Rushall Olympic | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | Kettering Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 |  Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |  Stourbridge | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Halesowen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Racing Club Warwick | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leamington | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Bishop's Stortford | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 |  Stratford Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Banbury United | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -25 | 1 |
Team Insights
Bromsgrove Sporting- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bromsgrove Sporting have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Leiston- ●Leiston have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leiston have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Leiston's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leiston have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Bromsgrove SportingWHKettering Town2–1
Kettering Town2–1DAReal Bedford1–1
Real Bedford1–1DHLeamington1–1
Leamington1–1WAStratford Town3–2
Stratford Town3–2WHBury Town1–0
Bury Town1–0WAWorcester City1–0
Worcester City1–0–HBanbury United17/10
Banbury United17/10–AAlvechurch20/10
Alvechurch20/10–HStratford Town27/10
Stratford Town27/10LeistonDARacing Club Warwick0–0
Racing Club Warwick0–0LAReal Bedford2–3
Real Bedford2–3LHPeterborough Sports0–2
Peterborough Sports0–2WABanbury United2–1
Banbury United2–1LABury Town3–4
Bury Town3–4WHRedditch United3–1
Redditch United3–1–AKettering Town20/10
Kettering Town20/10–APeterborough Sports27/10
Peterborough Sports27/10–HAlvechurch31/10
Alvechurch31/10Top Scorers
Bromsgrove SportingL. Barrow5 ⚽
O. Harrison5 ⚽
B. Shaw4 ⚽
J. Matt4 ⚽
J. Jervis2 ⚽
Trialist B2 ⚽
LeistonA. Mills9 ⚽
7 ⚽
H. Sayer4 ⚽
E. Jackson2 ⚽
N. Aitkens2 ⚽
W. Clemons2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bromsgrove SportingJ. Charles1 🟨
Leiston