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Leiston vs Real Bedford — Non League Premier - Southern Central

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England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · Regular Season - 18
Leiston
Leiston
17º · 1.09 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Real Bedford
Real Bedford
1º · 2.46 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 17d 5h
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Leiston and Real Bedford meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Leiston have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Real Bedford have won 62% of their 21 matches, with 3.19 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Leiston and 1.83 for Real Bedford. The models give Leiston a 28% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Real Bedford win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Leiston
—
Real Bedford
17º
Position
1º
1.09
PPG
2.46
27%
Win %
77%
1.55
Goals / game
2.85
1.91
Conceded / game
1.23
63%
BTTS %
81%
16%
Clean sheet %
14%
79%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Leiston
Home (4)
—
Real Bedford
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
83%
1.75
Goals / game
2.67
1.50
Conceded / game
0.83
50%
BTTS %
63%
13%
Clean sheet %
38%
88%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

LeistonHomeAwayReal BedfordHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored68%63%73%95%92%100%
Over 1.5 Scored58%50%64%86%85%88%
Over 2.5 Scored37%50%27%57%62%50%
Failed To Score32%38%27%5%8%0%

Goals Conceded

LeistonHomeAwayReal BedfordHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded84%88%82%86%100%63%
Over 1.5 Conceded47%50%45%52%69%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded26%25%27%29%31%25%
Clean Sheets16%13%18%14%0%38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LeistonReal Bedford
Over 0.589%100%
Over 1.589%100%
Over 2.579%86%
Over 3.553%71%
Over 4.521%52%
BTTS63%81%
BTTS & Win37%48%
BTTS & Draw11%19%
BTTS & Over 2.558%76%
BTTS No & Over 2.521%10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LeistonReal Bedford
Win 1st Half37%33%
Draw 1st Half32%48%
Loss 1st Half32%19%
Scored 1st Half58%76%
Conceded 1st Half53%62%
Win 2nd Half26%57%
Draw 2nd Half32%29%
Loss 2nd Half42%14%
Scored 2nd Half53%86%
Conceded 2nd Half63%67%
Over 0.5 HT84%86%
Over 1.5 HT58%81%

Recent Venue Form

Leiston (H)
LGuiseley AFC0–3
WCoventry United3–1
LDartford0–3
LPeterborough Sports0–2
WGrays Athletic5–0
WRedditch United3–1
Real Bedford (A)
LBishop's Stortford1–3
WStamford4–0
LChesham United3–4
WStourbridge4–1
WHarleston Town2–1
WHalesowen Town2–0

Team Corners

Team CornersLeistonReal Bedford
Corners Earned / Match0.00.0
Corners Against / Match7.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%0%

Head to Head · 3 matches

2
Leiston
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Real Bedford
33%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
29/09/26
Real Bedford
3–2
Leiston
14/04/26
Real Bedford
0–1
Leiston
29/11/25
Leiston
1–0
Real Bedford
Non League Premier - Southern Central
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford131021+2132
2Bury Town141013+431
3Bromsgrove Sporting12831+1027
4Rushall Olympic14905+927
5Needham Market13724+923
6Peterborough Sports13652+723
7Kettering Town12642+1322
8Alvechurch12642+1222
9Anstey Nomads11542+419
10Racing Club Warwick13454+317
11Halesowen Town11524-317
12Stourbridge12444-216
13Redditch United11353+114
14Hitchin Town14347-413
15Bishop's Stortford13418-613
16Banbury United13346-713
17Leiston11335-412
18Stratford Town13265-812
19Leamington13247-610
20Worcester City11146-87
21Leighton Town12129-135
22Stamford130112-321

Team Insights

Leiston
  • ●Leiston have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Leiston have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●71% of Leiston's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Leiston have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Real Bedford
  • ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
  • ●Real Bedford have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Real Bedford have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Real Bedford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Real Bedford have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Real Bedford have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●69% of Real Bedford's goals conceded were conceded at home.
LeistonLeiston
LAKettering Town7º0–4
LHGuiseley AFC0–3
DARacing Club Warwick10º0–0
WHCoventry United3–1
LAReal Bedford1º2–3
LHDartford0–3
LHPeterborough Sports6º0–2
WAHitchin Town2–1
WABanbury United16º2–1
WHGrays Athletic5–0
Real BedfordReal Bedford
LABishop's Stortford15º1–3
DHBury Town2º2–2
WAStamford22º4–0
DHBromsgrove Sporting3º1–1
LAChesham United3–4
WHLeiston17º3–2
LHWingate & Finchley0–3
WAStourbridge12º4–1
WAHarleston Town2–1
WHRedditch United13º2–1

Season Schedule

Leiston
LAKettering Town0–4
DARacing Club Warwick0–0
LAReal Bedford2–3
LHPeterborough Sports0–2
WABanbury United2–1
LABury Town3–4
–APeterborough Sports27/10
–HAlvechurch31/10
–ABromsgrove Sporting07/11
Real Bedford
LABishop's Stortford1–3
DHBury Town2–2
WAStamford4–0
DHBromsgrove Sporting1–1
WHLeiston3–2
WAStourbridge4–1
–HStourbridge27/10
–AWorcester City31/10
–AAnstey Nomads03/11

Top Scorers

Leiston
A. Mills9 ⚽
7 ⚽
H. Sayer4 ⚽
E. Jackson2 ⚽
N. Aitkens2 ⚽
W. Clemons2 ⚽
Real Bedford
J. Allen13 ⚽
C. Tee8 ⚽
J. Ponticelli8 ⚽
B. Stevens7 ⚽
S. Cartwright3 ⚽
A. Jones2 ⚽

Cards Given

Leiston
3 🟨
Real Bedford
J. Ponticelli2 🟨
C. King1 🟨
D. Richardson1 🟨