Stamford vs Needham Market — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Stamford and Needham Market meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Stamford have recorded 0 wins from 15 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.27 goals scored and 2.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Needham Market have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Stamford and 1.92 for Needham Market. The models give Stamford a 21% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Needham Market win at 56%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Stamford—
Needham Market22º
Position
5º
0.08
PPG
1.77
0%
Win %
54%
0.23
Goals / game
2.15
2.69
Conceded / game
1.46
20%
BTTS %
58%
7%
Clean sheet %
26%
67%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stamford
Home (6)
—
Needham Market
Away (6)
0.17
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
67%
0.17
Goals / game
2.50
2.17
Conceded / game
1.67
25%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
30%
63%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stamford | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 14% | 79% | 89% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 7% | 0% | 14% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 44% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 80% | 75% | 86% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Stamford | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 88% | 100% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 73% | 63% | 86% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 53% | 38% | 71% | 26% | 33% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 13% | 0% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stamford | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS | 20% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 47% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stamford | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 16% |
| Loss 1st Half | 60% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 7% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Stamford (H)L
Real Bedford0–4
Real Bedford0–4D
Stratford Town0–0
Stratford Town0–0L
Loughborough University1–2
Loughborough University1–2L
Bishop's Stortford0–3
Bishop's Stortford0–3L
Mickleover Sports0–1
Mickleover Sports0–1L
Rushall Olympic0–3
Rushall Olympic0–3Needham Market (A)W
Leamington2–1
Leamington2–1W
Bury Town5–0
Bury Town5–0LRushall Olympic3–5
Rushall Olympic3–5W
Canvey Island3–0
Canvey Island3–0L
Braintree0–3
Braintree0–3D
Stanway Rovers0–0
Stanway Rovers0–0Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Stamford
40%
0
Draws
0%
3
Needham Market
60%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
29/09/26Stamford
Needham Market
4–0Stamford24/01/26Needham Market
Stamford
1–0Needham Market20/09/25Stamford
Needham Market
4–1Stamford09/04/24Stamford
Needham Market
0–3Stamford24/10/23Needham Market
Stamford
0–3Needham Market| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | +23 | 32 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |  Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 |  Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 |  Hitchin Town | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Stamford- ●Stamford have failed to win in their last 13 matches.
- ●Stamford have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Stamford have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●Stamford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Stamford have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Stamford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stamford have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stamford failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stamford have lost 7 of their 7 away matches.
Needham Market- ●Needham Market have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Needham Market have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
StamfordLAHitchin Town0–3
Hitchin Town0–3LHReal Bedford0–4
Real Bedford0–4DHStratford Town0–0
Stratford Town0–0LABanbury United2–3
Banbury United2–3LANeedham Market0–4
Needham Market0–4LHBishop's Stortford0–3
Bishop's Stortford0–3–ABishop's Stortford27/10
Bishop's Stortford27/10–HHalesowen Town31/10
Halesowen Town31/10–HBromsgrove Sporting03/11
Bromsgrove Sporting03/11Needham MarketWHBishop's Stortford2–1
Bishop's Stortford2–1WALeamington2–1
Leamington2–1WABury Town5–0
Bury Town5–0DHAnstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1LARushall Olympic3–5
Rushall Olympic3–5WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0–HLeighton Town27/10
Leighton Town27/10–ARedditch United31/10
Redditch United31/10–HStourbridge07/11
Stourbridge07/11Top Scorers
StamfordL. Alonzi1 ⚽
T. Charles1 ⚽
T. Young1 ⚽
Needham MarketR. Miles9 ⚽
L. Pearce6 ⚽
K. Hammond4 ⚽
L. Ingram2 ⚽
T. Allen2 ⚽
D. Morphew2 ⚽
Cards Given
StamfordNeedham MarketD. Morphew2 🟨