Stourbridge vs Alvechurch — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Stourbridge and Alvechurch meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Stourbridge have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Alvechurch have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Stourbridge and 1.49 for Alvechurch. The models give Stourbridge a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Alvechurch win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Stourbridge—
Alvechurch12º
Position
8º
1.33
PPG
1.91
33%
Win %
55%
1.17
Goals / game
1.64
1.33
Conceded / game
0.55
63%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
41%
56%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stourbridge
Home (6)
—
Alvechurch
Away (5)
1.17
PPG
1.60
33%
Win %
40%
1.17
Goals / game
1.40
1.67
Conceded / game
0.80
50%
BTTS %
64%
13%
Clean sheet %
27%
63%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stourbridge | Home | Away | Alvechurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 63% | 75% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 38% | 50% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 0% | 38% | 27% | 36% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 38% | 25% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Stourbridge | Home | Away | Alvechurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 88% | 88% | 59% | 45% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 63% | 25% | 23% | 9% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 38% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 13% | 41% | 55% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stourbridge | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 5% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stourbridge | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 5% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Stourbridge (H)W
Leighton Town2–1
Leighton Town2–1L
Racing Club Warwick0–1
Racing Club Warwick0–1L
Real Bedford1–4
Real Bedford1–4L
Rushall Olympic1–3
Rushall Olympic1–3L
Leamington0–2
Leamington0–2D
Leiston2–2
Leiston2–2Alvechurch (A)D
Spalding United2–2
Spalding United2–2D
Halesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1W
Cambridge City2–1
Cambridge City2–1D
Anstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2WRushall Olympic1–0
Rushall Olympic1–0W
Bishop's Stortford3–0
Bishop's Stortford3–0Head to Head · 10 matches
4
Stourbridge
40%
2
Draws
20%
4
Alvechurch
40%
50%
Over 1.5
5/10
30%
Over 2.5
3/10
0%
Over 3.5
0/10
30%
BTTS
3/10
29/09/26Stourbridge
Alvechurch
0–0Stourbridge06/04/26Alvechurch
Stourbridge
1–1Alvechurch03/03/26Stourbridge
Alvechurch
1–2Stourbridge29/03/25Alvechurch
Stourbridge
1–0Alvechurch26/10/24Alvechurch
Stourbridge
0–1Alvechurch28/09/24Stourbridge
Alvechurch
1–2Stourbridge16/03/24Stourbridge
Alvechurch
1–0Stourbridge23/01/24Alvechurch
Stourbridge
1–0Alvechurch06/03/23Alvechurch
Stourbridge
0–2Alvechurch06/08/22Stourbridge
Alvechurch
3–0Stourbridge| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | +23 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 31 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |  Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 | Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 |  Stratford Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 |  Hitchin Town | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 |  Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Stourbridge- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stourbridge have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Alvechurch- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
StourbridgeLABury Town0–2
Bury Town0–2WAWorcester City3–1
Worcester City3–1WHLeighton Town2–1
Leighton Town2–1LHRacing Club Warwick0–1
Racing Club Warwick0–1DAAlvechurch0–0
Alvechurch0–0LHReal Bedford1–4
Real Bedford1–4–AReal Bedford27/10
Real Bedford27/10–HKettering Town31/10
Kettering Town31/10–ANeedham Market07/11
Needham Market07/11AlvechurchDAHalesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1LHBury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1DHStourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0DAAnstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0WARushall Olympic1–0
Rushall Olympic1–0–AStratford Town24/10
Stratford Town24/10–HAnstey Nomads27/10
Anstey Nomads27/10–ALeiston31/10
Leiston31/10Top Scorers
StourbridgeC. Pavey4 ⚽
C. Wragg3 ⚽
J. Verma2 ⚽
D. Jarvis2 ⚽
K. Pearce1 ⚽
P. Harvey1 ⚽
AlvechurchM. Okafor7 ⚽
E. Ilesanmi5 ⚽
4 ⚽
K. Wakefield3 ⚽
Miracle Okafor2 ⚽
J. Osborne2 ⚽
Cards Given
StourbridgeJ. Fletcher1 🟨
J. Verma1 🟨
AlvechurchBen Stephens1 🟨
George Forsyth1 🟨
J. Kelly1 🟨
Jamey Osborne1 🟨
Johan Rask1 🟨
K. Wakefield1 🟨