Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Alvechurch and Hitchin Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Alvechurch have recorded 12 wins from 23 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Hitchin Town have won 19% of their 21 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Alvechurch and 0.85 for Hitchin Town. The models give Alvechurch a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Hitchin Town win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Alvechurch—
Hitchin Town8º
Position
14º
1.83
PPG
0.93
50%
Win %
21%
1.83
Goals / game
1.14
0.83
Conceded / game
1.43
52%
BTTS %
48%
39%
Clean sheet %
14%
57%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Alvechurch
Home (6)
—
Hitchin Town
Away (6)
2.17
PPG
0.17
67%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
0.50
0.33
Conceded / game
2.00
36%
BTTS %
50%
55%
Clean sheet %
0%
45%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Hitchin Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 82% | 83% | 62% | 69% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 64% | 67% | 14% | 23% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 36% | 25% | 14% | 23% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 18% | 17% | 38% | 31% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Hitchin Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 45% | 75% | 86% | 77% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 9% | 42% | 43% | 31% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 55% | 25% | 14% | 23% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alvechurch | Hitchin Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS | 52% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alvechurch | Hitchin Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 62% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 4% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Alvechurch (H)W
Spalding United4–0
Spalding United4–0L
Bury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1D
Stourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0L
Bourne Town1–2
Bourne Town1–2W
Racing Club Warwick3–1
Racing Club Warwick3–1W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0Hitchin Town (A)L
Halesowen Town1–2
Halesowen Town1–2L
Leamington0–4
Leamington0–4L
Takeley0–2
Takeley0–2LBury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1D
Biggleswade Town1–1
Biggleswade Town1–1L
Bishop's Stortford0–2
Bishop's Stortford0–2Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Alvechurch
50%
0
Draws
0%
3
Hitchin Town
50%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
18/04/25Hitchin Town
Alvechurch
4–1Hitchin Town07/09/24Alvechurch
Hitchin Town
0–1Alvechurch20/01/24Hitchin Town
Alvechurch
2–1Hitchin Town05/08/23Alvechurch
Hitchin Town
2–0Alvechurch15/04/23Hitchin Town
Alvechurch
1–3Hitchin Town12/11/22Alvechurch
Hitchin Town
2–1Alvechurch| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |  Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 | Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Hitchin Town | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 |  Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |  Stratford Town | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 19 | Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 |  Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Alvechurch- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Alvechurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Hitchin Town- ●Hitchin Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Hitchin Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Hitchin Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hitchin Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hitchin Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hitchin Town have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hitchin Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hitchin Town have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●81% of Hitchin Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Hitchin Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●Hitchin Town have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AlvechurchDAStratford Town4–4
Stratford Town4–4DAHalesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1LHBury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1DHStourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0DAAnstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0–HAnstey Nomads27/10
Anstey Nomads27/10–ALeiston31/10
Leiston31/10–HLeighton Town07/11
Leighton Town07/11Hitchin TownWHBury Town5–1
Bury Town5–1WHStamford3–0
Stamford3–0LAHalesowen Town1–2
Halesowen Town1–2LHPeterborough Sports0–1
Peterborough Sports0–1LALeamington0–4
Leamington0–4WHLeighton Town1–0
Leighton Town1–0–AStratford Town31/10
Stratford Town31/10–ALeighton Town10/11
Leighton Town10/11–AAlvechurch14/11
Alvechurch14/11Top Scorers
AlvechurchM. Okafor8 ⚽
E. Ilesanmi5 ⚽
4 ⚽
K. Wakefield3 ⚽
D. Newton2 ⚽
J. Osborne2 ⚽
Hitchin TownO. Brooks3 ⚽
C. Jones2 ⚽
T. Rhiney2 ⚽
G. Morrall1 ⚽
J. Breen1 ⚽
J. Snelus1 ⚽
Cards Given
AlvechurchBen Stephens1 🟨
George Forsyth1 🟨
J. Kelly1 🟨
Jamey Osborne1 🟨
Johan Rask1 🟨
K. Wakefield1 🟨
Hitchin TownJ. Blue1 🟨
L. Stokoe1 🟨