Kettering Town vs Needham Market — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Kettering Town and Needham Market meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Kettering Town have recorded 13 wins from 22 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Needham Market have won 41% of their 22 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Kettering Town and 1.41 for Needham Market. The models give Kettering Town a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Needham Market win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Kettering Town | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 92% | 100% | 77% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 54% | 44% | 59% | 55% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 38% | 22% | 41% | 36% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 8% | 0% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Kettering Town | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 46% | 78% | 77% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 23% | 56% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 8% | 22% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 54% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kettering Town | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 23% |
| BTTS | 59% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kettering Town | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 35 | |
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 32 | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 31 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | +7 | 27 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 26 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 26 | |
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 25 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 23 | |
| 10 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 20 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 | |
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -6 | 16 | |
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 | |
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 14 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 | |
| 18 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 13 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -10 | 13 | |
| 20 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 6 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -35 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Kettering Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kettering Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●66% of Kettering Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Kettering Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Kettering Town have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Needham Market have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.