Real Bedford vs Needham Market — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Real Bedford and Needham Market meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Real Bedford have recorded 13 wins from 23 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.96 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Needham Market have won 41% of their 22 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Real Bedford and 1.85 for Needham Market. The models give Real Bedford a 48% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Needham Market win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Bedford | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 86% | 100% | 77% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 79% | 79% | 80% | 59% | 55% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 57% | 40% | 41% | 36% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 14% | 0% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Bedford | Home | Away | Needham Market | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 70% | 77% | 82% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 64% | 30% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 30% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 30% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Bedford | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 23% |
| BTTS | 79% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 46% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Bedford | Needham Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 79% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 35 | |
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 32 | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 31 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | +7 | 27 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 26 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 26 | |
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 25 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 23 | |
| 10 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 20 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 | |
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -6 | 16 | |
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 | |
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 14 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 | |
| 18 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 13 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -10 | 13 | |
| 20 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 6 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -35 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Needham Market have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.