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Worcester City vs Leiston — Non League Premier - Southern Central

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Worcester City
Worcester City
15º · 1.14 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 17d 19h
vs
–
–
Leiston
Leiston
17º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 17d 19h
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Worcester City and Leiston meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Worcester City have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Leiston have won 39% of their 23 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 13%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Worcester City and 1.47 for Leiston. The models give Worcester City a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leiston win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Worcester City
—
Leiston
15º
Position
17º
1.14
PPG
1.00
29%
Win %
27%
1.21
Goals / game
1.73
1.29
Conceded / game
2.20
48%
BTTS %
70%
28%
Clean sheet %
13%
36%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
5.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
18.0
Avg fouls
0.0
38.0%
Avg possession
49.0%

Home vs Away

Worcester City
Home (6)
—
Leiston
Away (9)
1.67
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
22%
1.33
Goals / game
1.89
1.00
Conceded / game
2.22
33%
BTTS %
77%
50%
Clean sheet %
15%
33%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
5.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
3.0
38.0%
Avg possession
49.0%

Goals Scored

Worcester CityHomeAwayLeistonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored68%67%69%74%70%77%
Over 1.5 Scored24%25%23%57%40%69%
Over 2.5 Scored12%8%15%35%40%31%
Failed To Score32%33%31%26%30%23%

Goals Conceded

Worcester CityHomeAwayLeistonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded72%50%92%87%90%85%
Over 1.5 Conceded24%17%31%57%60%54%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%8%8%35%40%31%
Clean Sheets28%50%8%13%10%15%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Worcester CityLeiston
Over 0.592%91%
Over 1.560%91%
Over 2.536%83%
Over 3.520%61%
Over 4.54%30%
BTTS48%70%
BTTS & Win16%35%
BTTS & Draw20%9%
BTTS & Over 2.532%65%
BTTS No & Over 2.54%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Worcester CityLeiston
Win 1st Half32%35%
Draw 1st Half28%26%
Loss 1st Half40%39%
Scored 1st Half36%57%
Conceded 1st Half48%61%
Win 2nd Half32%30%
Draw 2nd Half48%26%
Loss 2nd Half20%43%
Scored 2nd Half56%57%
Conceded 2nd Half40%70%
Over 0.5 HT76%87%
Over 1.5 HT16%61%

Recent Venue Form

Worcester City (H)
WRacing Club Warwick2–1
WReal Bedford4–1
WChorley1–0
LStourbridge1–3
LLeek Town0–2
DBanbury United0–0
Leiston (A)
LBromsgrove Sporting2–3
WPeterborough Sports5–2
LKettering Town0–4
DRacing Club Warwick0–0
LReal Bedford2–3
WHitchin Town2–1

Number of Corners

4.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
7.0
Corners / Match
1 games
Match CornersWorcester CityLeistonLeague Avg
Over 60%100%—
Over 70%0%—
Over 80%0%—
Over 90%0%—
Over 100%0%—
Over 110%0%—
Over 120%0%—
Over 130%0%—

Team Corners

Team CornersWorcester CityLeiston
Corners Earned / Match0.00.0
Corners Against / Match4.07.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%100%

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
Worcester City
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Leiston
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
21/03/26
Leiston
1–0
Worcester City
08/11/25
Worcester City
1–1
Leiston
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford181323+2441
2Bromsgrove Sporting161141+1637
3Bury Town181134+536
4Kettering Town17944+1231
5Peterborough Sports17863+730
6Alvechurch15852+1529
7Anstey Nomads16853+929
8Needham Market16844+1228
9Rushall Olympic18918+428
10Halesowen Town15735024
11Stourbridge16646-222
12Stratford Town17575-422
13Racing Club Warwick17557020
14Redditch United15465018
15Worcester City14446-116
16Hitchin Town16448-416
17Leiston15438-715
18Bishop's Stortford174211-1114
19Banbury United17359-1214
20Leamington173410-913
21Leighton Town151311-196
22Stamford161213-355

Team Insights

Worcester City
  • ●Worcester City have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Worcester City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Worcester City have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Worcester City have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●67% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Leiston
  • ●Leiston have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Leiston have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Leiston have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Leiston have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Leiston have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Leiston have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●Leiston have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●65% of Leiston's goals have been scored away.
  • ●60% of Leiston's points have been earned away.

Season Schedule

Worcester City
WHRacing Club Warwick2–1
WHReal Bedford4–1
WABanbury United3–0
LHStourbridge1–3
LARushall Olympic0–1
DARacing Club Warwick2–2
–AAnstey Nomads14/11
–HKettering Town17/11
–HBury Town21/11
Leiston
LHReal Bedford1–4
LABromsgrove Sporting2–3
LHAlvechurch1–3
WAPeterborough Sports5–2
LAKettering Town0–4
DARacing Club Warwick0–0
–ALeamington14/11
–HStratford Town17/11
–HLeighton Town21/11

Top Scorers

Worcester City
L. Lockett4 ⚽
C. Wise4 ⚽
A. Bishop3 ⚽
D. Idehen2 ⚽
B. Smalley2 ⚽
N. Hayward2 ⚽
Leiston
A. Mills11 ⚽
7 ⚽
H. Sayer6 ⚽
N. Aitkens4 ⚽
E. Jackson3 ⚽
W. Clemons2 ⚽

Cards Given

Worcester City
C. Wise2 🟨
A. Bishop1 🟨
F. Salmon1 🟨
Harry Burns1 🟨
Leiston
3 🟨