Worcester City vs Leiston — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Worcester City and Leiston meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Worcester City have recorded 9 wins from 25 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Leiston have won 39% of their 23 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Worcester City and 1.47 for Leiston. The models give Worcester City a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leiston win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Leiston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 67% | 69% | 74% | 70% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 25% | 23% | 57% | 40% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 8% | 15% | 35% | 40% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 33% | 31% | 26% | 30% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Leiston | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 50% | 92% | 87% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 17% | 31% | 57% | 60% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 8% | 35% | 40% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 50% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worcester City | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 30% |
| BTTS | 48% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worcester City | Leiston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 16% | 61% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Worcester City | Leiston | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Worcester City | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | +24 | 41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +16 | 37 | |
| 3 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 36 | |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 31 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +7 | 30 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +15 | 29 | |
| 7 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 29 | |
| 8 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 28 | |
| 9 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | +4 | 28 | |
| 10 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 24 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 22 | |
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 20 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 16 | |
| 16 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 16 | |
| 17 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 15 | |
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -11 | 14 | |
| 19 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 14 | |
| 20 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 13 | |
| 21 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -19 | 6 | |
| 22 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -35 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Worcester City have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Worcester City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Worcester City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Worcester City have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leiston have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leiston have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Leiston have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Leiston have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Leiston have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Leiston have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Leiston have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●65% of Leiston's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Leiston's points have been earned away.