Alvechurch vs Real Bedford — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Alvechurch and Real Bedford meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Alvechurch have recorded 13 wins from 26 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Real Bedford have won 60% of their 25 matches, with 2.92 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 84%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Alvechurch and 1.48 for Real Bedford. The models give Alvechurch a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Real Bedford win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Alvechurch—
Real Bedford8º
Position
1º
1.86
PPG
2.24
50%
Win %
71%
1.93
Goals / game
2.53
0.93
Conceded / game
1.29
54%
BTTS %
76%
35%
Clean sheet %
16%
62%
Over 2.5 %
84%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
0.0
27.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Alvechurch
Home (7)
—
Real Bedford
Away (8)
2.00
PPG
2.25
57%
Win %
75%
1.86
Goals / game
2.38
0.57
Conceded / game
1.25
42%
BTTS %
70%
50%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
27.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 83% | 79% | 92% | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 67% | 64% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 52% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 17% | 21% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 50% | 79% | 84% | 93% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 43% | 48% | 60% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 28% | 27% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 50% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alvechurch | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 48% |
| BTTS | 54% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 72% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alvechurch | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 72% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 76% |
Recent Venue Form
Alvechurch (H)D
Anstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2W
Spalding United4–0
Spalding United4–0L
Bury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1D
Stourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0L
Bourne Town1–2
Bourne Town1–2W
Racing Club Warwick3–1
Racing Club Warwick3–1Real Bedford (A)WAnstey Nomads2–1
Anstey Nomads2–1L
Worcester City1–4
Worcester City1–4L
Bishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0L
Chesham United3–4
Chesham United3–4WStourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Alvechurch | Real Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Alvechurch
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Real Bedford
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
18/04/26Alvechurch
Real Bedford
3–2Alvechurch24/02/26Real Bedford
Alvechurch
3–4Real Bedford15/11/25Real Bedford
Alvechurch
1–1Real Bedford| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | +21 | 38 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 35 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |  Kettering Town | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 31 |
| 5 |  Needham Market | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 28 |
| 6 |  Peterborough Sports | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 26 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Racing Club Warwick | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stratford Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Hitchin Town | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |  Leiston | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 |  Banbury United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | Worcester City | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | Bishop's Stortford | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 13 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -35 | 5 |
Team Insights
Alvechurch- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Alvechurch failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Alvechurch failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Alvechurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Alvechurch have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Real Bedford- ●Real Bedford have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AlvechurchWALeiston3–1
Leiston3–1DHAnstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2DAStratford Town4–4
Stratford Town4–4DAHalesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1LHBury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1DHStourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0–AStourbridge10/11
Stourbridge10/11–HHitchin Town14/11
Hitchin Town14/11–ABanbury United21/11
Banbury United21/11Real BedfordWHRushall Olympic3–0
Rushall Olympic3–0WAAnstey Nomads2–1
Anstey Nomads2–1LAWorcester City1–4
Worcester City1–4LHStourbridge0–1
Stourbridge0–1LABishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3DHBury Town2–2
Bury Town2–2–ALeiston10/11
Leiston10/11–ARacing Club Warwick21/11
Racing Club Warwick21/11–HNeedham Market28/11
Needham Market28/11Top Scorers
AlvechurchM. Okafor11 ⚽
E. Ilesanmi5 ⚽
4 ⚽
K. Wakefield3 ⚽
J. Osborne3 ⚽
D. Newton2 ⚽
Real BedfordJ. Allen13 ⚽
J. Ponticelli11 ⚽
C. Tee8 ⚽
B. Stevens7 ⚽
A. Jones3 ⚽
S. Cartwright3 ⚽
Cards Given
AlvechurchBen Stephens2 🟨
Daniel James Newton1 🟨
George Forsyth1 🟨
J. Kelly1 🟨
Jamey Osborne1 🟨
Johan Rask1 🟨
Real BedfordJ. Ponticelli2 🟨
C. King1 🟨
D. Richardson1 🟨