Bury Town vs Anstey Nomads — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Bury Town and Anstey Nomads meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Bury Town have recorded 14 wins from 25 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.96 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Anstey Nomads have won 52% of their 23 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Bury Town and 1.73 for Anstey Nomads. The models give Bury Town a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Anstey Nomads win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Bury Town—
Anstey Nomads3º
Position
7º
2.00
PPG
1.81
61%
Win %
50%
1.78
Goals / game
2.06
1.50
Conceded / game
1.50
64%
BTTS %
74%
24%
Clean sheet %
17%
68%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.0
Avg corners
4.0
13.0
Avg shots
6.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
54.0%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Bury Town
Home (9)
—
Anstey Nomads
Away (8)
1.89
PPG
1.50
56%
Win %
38%
1.78
Goals / game
2.00
1.56
Conceded / game
2.00
55%
BTTS %
92%
36%
Clean sheet %
8%
55%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.0
Avg corners
4.0
13.0
Avg shots
6.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
54.0%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Bury Town | Home | Away | Anstey Nomads | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 91% | 86% | 91% | 82% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 55% | 57% | 57% | 55% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 27% | 43% | 35% | 27% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Bury Town | Home | Away | Anstey Nomads | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 64% | 86% | 83% | 73% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 45% | 50% | 43% | 36% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 36% | 29% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 36% | 14% | 17% | 27% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bury Town | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 26% |
| BTTS | 64% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bury Town | Anstey Nomads | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 83% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Bury Town (H)D
Bishop's Stortford1–1
Bishop's Stortford1–1L
Kettering Town2–3
Kettering Town2–3D
Banbury United2–2
Banbury United2–2W
Stourbridge2–0
Stourbridge2–0L
Needham Market0–5
Needham Market0–5D
Spalding United1–1
Spalding United1–1Anstey Nomads (A)W
Halesowen Town5–3
Halesowen Town5–3D
Alvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2D
Macclesfield1–1
Macclesfield1–1DNeedham Market1–1
Needham Market1–1W
Gainsborough Trinity3–2
Gainsborough Trinity3–2LKettering Town1–4
Kettering Town1–4Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
8.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Bury Town | Anstey Nomads | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bury Town | Anstey Nomads |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | +24 | 41 |
| 2 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +16 | 37 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 36 |
| 4 | Kettering Town | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 31 |
| 5 |  Peterborough Sports | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +7 | 30 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +15 | 29 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 29 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 28 |
| 9 |  Rushall Olympic | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | +4 | 28 |
| 10 | Halesowen Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 24 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Stratford Town | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 |  Racing Club Warwick | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Worcester City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 |  Hitchin Town | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Leiston | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Bishop's Stortford | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 14 |
| 20 |  Leamington | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 13 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -35 | 5 |
Team Insights
Bury Town- ●Bury Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Bury Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have won 6 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Anstey Nomads- ●Anstey Nomads have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Anstey Nomads's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Anstey Nomads have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Bury TownDHBishop's Stortford1–1
Bishop's Stortford1–1WARacing Club Warwick3–1
Racing Club Warwick3–1LHKettering Town2–3
Kettering Town2–3DHBanbury United2–2
Banbury United2–2LAHitchin Town1–5
Hitchin Town1–5DAReal Bedford2–2
Real Bedford2–2–HRushall Olympic14/11
Rushall Olympic14/11–AWorcester City21/11
Worcester City21/11–ARedditch United28/11
Redditch United28/11Anstey NomadsWHKettering Town1–0
Kettering Town1–0WAHalesowen Town5–3
Halesowen Town5–3LHReal Bedford1–2
Real Bedford1–2WHBishop's Stortford4–1
Bishop's Stortford4–1DAAlvechurch2–2
Alvechurch2–2WHRushall Olympic3–2
Rushall Olympic3–2–HWorcester City14/11
Worcester City14/11–AHitchin Town21/11
Hitchin Town21/11–HRedditch United24/11
Redditch United24/11Top Scorers
Bury TownJ. McGrath9 ⚽
O. Canfer6 ⚽
T. Smith4 ⚽
C. Page2 ⚽
T. Hughes2 ⚽
S. Chambers2 ⚽
Anstey NomadsT. Liversidge7 ⚽
C. Grantham5 ⚽
H. Kirby-Moore5 ⚽
L. Rose4 ⚽
T. Chitiza3 ⚽
O. Tonge3 ⚽
Cards Given
Bury TownC. Beckwith1 🟨
R. Jolland1 🟨
Anstey NomadsR. Gill2 🟨
Courey Grantham1 🟨
1 🟨