Leiston vs Stamford — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Leiston and Stamford meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Leiston have recorded 9 wins from 22 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Stamford have won 6% of their 18 matches, with 0.33 goals scored and 2.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 22%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Leiston and 1.15 for Stamford. The models give Leiston a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Stamford win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Leiston—
Stamford16º
Position
22º
1.07
PPG
0.31
29%
Win %
6%
1.79
Goals / game
0.31
2.07
Conceded / game
2.50
68%
BTTS %
22%
14%
Clean sheet %
11%
82%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leiston
Home (5)
—
Stamford
Away (9)
1.20
PPG
0.44
40%
Win %
11%
1.60
Goals / game
0.44
1.80
Conceded / game
2.56
56%
BTTS %
22%
11%
Clean sheet %
11%
89%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leiston | Home | Away | Stamford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 67% | 77% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 44% | 69% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 44% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 33% | 23% | 72% | 78% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Leiston | Home | Away | Stamford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 89% | 85% | 89% | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 56% | 54% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 33% | 31% | 50% | 44% | 56% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leiston | Stamford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 11% |
| BTTS | 68% | 22% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 44% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leiston | Stamford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 6% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Leiston (H)L
Alvechurch1–3
Alvechurch1–3L
Guiseley AFC0–3
Guiseley AFC0–3W
Coventry United3–1
Coventry United3–1L
Dartford0–3
Dartford0–3L
Peterborough Sports0–2
Peterborough Sports0–2W
Grays Athletic5–0
Grays Athletic5–0Stamford (A)DPeterborough Sports1–1
Peterborough Sports1–1W
Bishop's Stortford1–0
Bishop's Stortford1–0L
Hitchin Town0–3
Hitchin Town0–3L
Banbury United2–3
Banbury United2–3L
Needham Market0–4
Needham Market0–4LAlvechurch0–4
Alvechurch0–4Team Corners
| Team Corners | Leiston | Stamford |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Leiston
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Stamford
33%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
14/03/26Leiston
Stamford
2–0Leiston15/11/25Stamford
Leiston
3–0Stamford08/02/25Leiston
Stamford
0–2Leiston02/11/24Stamford
Leiston
1–1Stamford23/03/24Leiston
Stamford
3–0Leiston25/11/23Stamford
Leiston
3–2Stamford| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | +21 | 38 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 35 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |  Kettering Town | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 31 |
| 5 | Needham Market | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 28 |
| 6 | Peterborough Sports | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 26 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 |  Stourbridge | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 |  Racing Club Warwick | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stratford Town | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 | Hitchin Town | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Leiston | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Banbury United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 |  Worcester City | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | Bishop's Stortford | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -11 | 13 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -35 | 5 |
Team Insights
Leiston- ●Leiston have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leiston have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Leiston have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●68% of Leiston's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Leiston's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●60% of Leiston's points have been earned away.
Stamford- ●Stamford have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Stamford failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stamford have lost 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stamford failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Stamford have lost 7 of their 9 away matches.
Season Schedule
LeistonLABromsgrove Sporting2–3
Bromsgrove Sporting2–3LHAlvechurch1–3
Alvechurch1–3WAPeterborough Sports5–2
Peterborough Sports5–2LAKettering Town0–4
Kettering Town0–4DARacing Club Warwick0–0
Racing Club Warwick0–0LAReal Bedford2–3
Real Bedford2–3–HReal Bedford10/11
Real Bedford10/11–ALeamington14/11
Leamington14/11–HStratford Town17/11
Stratford Town17/11StamfordDAPeterborough Sports1–1
Peterborough Sports1–1LHHalesowen Town0–4
Halesowen Town0–4WABishop's Stortford1–0
Bishop's Stortford1–0LAHitchin Town0–3
Hitchin Town0–3LHReal Bedford0–4
Real Bedford0–4DHStratford Town0–0
Stratford Town0–0–HLeamington21/11
Leamington21/11–HLeighton Town28/11
Leighton Town28/11–ALeiston05/12
Leiston05/12Top Scorers
LeistonA. Mills10 ⚽
7 ⚽
H. Sayer6 ⚽
N. Aitkens4 ⚽
E. Jackson3 ⚽
W. Clemons2 ⚽
StamfordL. Alonzi1 ⚽
M. Jarzabek1 ⚽
T. Charles1 ⚽
T. Young1 ⚽
Cards Given
Leiston3 🟨
Stamford