Malvern Town vs Frome Town — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Malvern Town and Frome Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Malvern Town have recorded 1 wins from 14 matches this season (7% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Frome Town have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Malvern Town and 1.67 for Frome Town. The models give Malvern Town a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Frome Town win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Frome Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 83% | 38% | 71% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 17% | 0% | 21% | 11% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 17% | 63% | 29% | 22% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Frome Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 64% | 56% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 79% | 83% | 75% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 17% | 63% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 36% | 44% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Malvern Town | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 7% |
| BTTS | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Malvern Town | Frome Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 7% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 71% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 10 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 7 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | |
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 | |
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Malvern Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Frome Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.