Hanworth Villa vs Chippenham Town — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Hanworth Villa and Chippenham Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Hanworth Villa have recorded 13 wins from 18 matches this season (72% win rate), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Chippenham Town have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Hanworth Villa and 1.16 for Chippenham Town. The models give Hanworth Villa a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Chippenham Town win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hanworth Villa | Home | Away | Chippenham Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 50% | 65% | 100% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 72% | 92% | 33% | 41% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 17% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 50% | 35% | 0% | 55% |
Goals Conceded
| Hanworth Villa | Home | Away | Chippenham Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 83% | 50% | 88% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 33% | 0% | 53% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 17% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 17% | 50% | 12% | 0% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hanworth Villa | Chippenham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 6% |
| BTTS | 61% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 61% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hanworth Villa | Chippenham Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 24 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 12 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 | |
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | |
| 21 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 | |
| 22 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●83% of Hanworth Villa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Hanworth Villa's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Chippenham Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Chippenham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Chippenham Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chippenham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chippenham Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chippenham Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chippenham Town have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of Chippenham Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Chippenham Town have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.