Uxbridge vs Malvern Town — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Uxbridge and Malvern Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 20 October 2026. Uxbridge have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Malvern Town have won 7% of their 14 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.51 for Uxbridge and 1.18 for Malvern Town. The models give Uxbridge a 65% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Malvern Town win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
UxbridgeMalvern TownHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Uxbridge | Home | Away | Malvern Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 86% | 80% | 57% | 83% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 86% | 60% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 43% | 0% | 7% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 14% | 20% | 43% | 17% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Uxbridge | Home | Away | Malvern Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 60% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 29% | 0% | 79% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 14% | 0% | 43% | 17% | 63% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 57% | 40% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Uxbridge | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS | 42% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Uxbridge | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 7% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 71% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Uxbridge (H)
Lewes2–1
Farnborough2–2
Chichester City5–0
Haywards Heath Town3–0
Wimborne Town0–0
Taunton Town5–4Malvern Town (A)
Mickleover Sports1–2
Chertsey Town0–5
Redditch United0–4
Gosport Borough2–4
Bracknell Town0–0Taunton Town2–5| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth Parkway | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | Chertsey Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Berkhamsted | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Yate Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Evesham United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Basingstoke Town | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 |  Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |  Gloucester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 22 |  Havant & Wville | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
Team Insights
Uxbridge- ●Uxbridge have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Uxbridge have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●71% of Uxbridge's goals have been scored at home.
Malvern Town- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Malvern Town's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
UxbridgeBerkhamsted0–1Chichester City5–0Wimborne Town0–0Bath City2–1Taunton Town5–4Gosport Borough1–1Basingstoke Town29/09Evesham United10/10Sholing17/10Malvern TownGloucester City5–2Chertsey Town0–5Chippenham Town1–2Gosport Borough2–4Wimborne Town0–3Bracknell Town0–0Bath City29/09Basingstoke Town10/10Yate Town13/10Top Scorers
UxbridgeMalvern Town