Malvern Town vs Bath City — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Malvern Town and Bath City meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Malvern Town have recorded 2 wins from 17 matches this season (12% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 2.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Bath City have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Malvern Town and 1.67 for Bath City. The models give Malvern Town a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bath City win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Bath City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 86% | 50% | 71% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 20% | 41% | 30% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 29% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 14% | 50% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Bath City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 80% | 76% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 76% | 86% | 70% | 41% | 60% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 41% | 14% | 60% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 0% | 20% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Malvern Town | Bath City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 12% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 0% |
| BTTS | 65% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Malvern Town | Bath City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 59% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 76% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 20 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 8 | |
| 21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 | |
| 22 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
Team Insights
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Malvern Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Malvern Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Malvern Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Malvern Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●Bath City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bath City have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Bath City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bath City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bath City have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bath City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bath City have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Bath City have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.