Poole Town vs Chertsey Town — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Poole Town and Chertsey Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Poole Town have recorded 10 wins from 15 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Chertsey Town have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 2.18 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Poole Town and 1.37 for Chertsey Town. The models give Poole Town a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chertsey Town win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Poole Town—
Chertsey Town1º
Position
8º
2.18
PPG
1.45
73%
Win %
36%
1.64
Goals / game
2.09
1.09
Conceded / game
1.64
53%
BTTS %
82%
27%
Clean sheet %
18%
47%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Poole Town
Home (5)
—
Chertsey Town
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
1.60
60%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
1.80
1.00
Conceded / game
1.80
29%
BTTS %
80%
43%
Clean sheet %
20%
29%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Poole Town | Home | Away | Chertsey Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 71% | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 43% | 50% | 64% | 58% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 14% | 38% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Poole Town | Home | Away | Chertsey Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 57% | 88% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 14% | 38% | 45% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 43% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Poole Town | Chertsey Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 32% |
| BTTS | 53% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Poole Town | Chertsey Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 53% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Poole Town (H)W
Bracknell Town1–0
Bracknell Town1–0W
Evesham United3–1
Evesham United3–1W
Basingstoke Town1–0
Basingstoke Town1–0W
Yate Town2–1
Yate Town2–1LBasingstoke Town0–2
Basingstoke Town0–2L
Sholing0–1
Sholing0–1Chertsey Town (A)D
Hanwell Town1–1
Hanwell Town1–1W
Sheppey United2–0
Sheppey United2–0D
Welling United2–2
Welling United2–2D
Chichester City2–2
Chichester City2–2W
Carshalton Athletic2–1
Carshalton Athletic2–1L
Hanworth Villa1–4
Hanworth Villa1–4Head to Head · 5 matches
4
Poole Town
80%
0
Draws
0%
1
Chertsey Town
20%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
29/09/26Poole Town
Chertsey Town
1–3Poole Town11/04/26Poole Town
Chertsey Town
0–1Poole Town06/09/25Chertsey Town
Poole Town
1–0Chertsey Town26/04/25Chertsey Town
Poole Town
3–1Chertsey Town14/01/25Poole Town
Chertsey Town
2–1Poole Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 2 |  Plymouth Parkway | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Uxbridge | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Frome Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 | Chertsey Town | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Berkhamsted | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Wimborne Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gosport Borough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Taunton Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Yate Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Hanwell Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Sholing | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 |  Havant & Wville | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 |  Chippenham Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 |  Malvern Town | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
Team Insights
Poole Town- ●Poole Town have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Poole Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Poole Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Poole Town have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Poole Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Poole Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Poole Town have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Poole Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Poole Town's goals have been scored away.
- ●63% of Poole Town's points have been earned away.
Chertsey Town- ●Chertsey Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Chertsey Town have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Chertsey Town have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chertsey Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chertsey Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chertsey Town have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chertsey Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Chertsey Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Poole TownWHBracknell Town1–0
Bracknell Town1–0WAGosport Borough3–1
Gosport Borough3–1WHEvesham United3–1
Evesham United3–1WAChertsey Town3–1
Chertsey Town3–1WAHavant & Wville1–0
Havant & Wville1–0LAPlymouth Parkway0–2
Plymouth Parkway0–2–AChippenham Town17/10
Chippenham Town17/10–HHanwell Town20/10
Hanwell Town20/10–HChertsey Town27/10
Chertsey Town27/10Chertsey TownDAHanwell Town1–1
Hanwell Town1–1DHChippenham Town2–2
Chippenham Town2–2LHPoole Town1–3
Poole Town1–3DAChichester City2–2
Chichester City2–2WHMalvern Town5–0
Malvern Town5–0LAHanworth Villa1–4
Hanworth Villa1–4–HEvesham United20/10
Evesham United20/10–APoole Town27/10
Poole Town27/10–HBasingstoke Town31/10
Basingstoke Town31/10Top Scorers
Poole TownE. Touray4 ⚽
I. Hill3 ⚽
B. Goodship2 ⚽
C. Davis2 ⚽
H. Slade1 ⚽
B. Tarbuck1 ⚽
Chertsey TownN. Minhas6 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Robertson3 ⚽
Wilson3 ⚽
C. Lee3 ⚽
E. Casey2 ⚽
Cards Given
Poole TownO. Dore2 🟨
Chertsey TownC. Lee3 🟨