Gloucester City vs Malvern Town — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Gloucester City and Malvern Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Gloucester City have recorded 9 wins from 21 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Malvern Town have won 16% of their 19 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 2.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Gloucester City and 1.09 for Malvern Town. The models give Gloucester City a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Malvern Town win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Gloucester City—
Malvern Town20º
Position
19º
1.00
PPG
0.85
20%
Win %
23%
1.50
Goals / game
1.46
1.80
Conceded / game
2.62
52%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
16%
43%
Over 2.5 %
74%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gloucester City
Home (5)
—
Malvern Town
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
0.14
20%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
0.86
1.00
Conceded / game
3.29
50%
BTTS %
45%
20%
Clean sheet %
18%
30%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gloucester City | Home | Away | Malvern Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 70% | 91% | 63% | 88% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 20% | 64% | 32% | 50% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 10% | 27% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 30% | 9% | 37% | 13% | 55% |
Goals Conceded
| Gloucester City | Home | Away | Malvern Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 55% | 84% | 88% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 27% | 74% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 27% | 42% | 13% | 64% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 20% | 45% | 16% | 13% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gloucester City | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 32% |
| BTTS | 52% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gloucester City | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 74% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Gloucester City (H)L
Barrow0–2
Barrow0–2D
Plymouth Parkway1–1
Plymouth Parkway1–1W
Stafford Rangers4–0
Stafford Rangers4–0D
Basingstoke Town1–1
Basingstoke Town1–1D
Mangotsfield United1–1
Mangotsfield United1–1L
Evesham United1–2
Evesham United1–2Malvern Town (A)L
Uxbridge0–3
Uxbridge0–3LBasingstoke Town1–4
Basingstoke Town1–4L
Bath City1–2
Bath City1–2D
Mickleover Sports1–1
Mickleover Sports1–1L
Chertsey Town0–5
Chertsey Town0–5L
Redditch United0–4
Redditch United0–4Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Gloucester City
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Malvern Town
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
22/09/26Gloucester City
Malvern Town
5–2Gloucester City08/07/23Gloucester City
Malvern Town
0–1Gloucester City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 | Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 | Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Wimborne Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 11 |  Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 |  Yate Town | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 | Evesham United | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 |  Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 | Basingstoke Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  Havant & Wville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 |  Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
Team Insights
Gloucester City- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Gloucester City have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Gloucester City have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gloucester City have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gloucester City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Gloucester City have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Gloucester City's goals have been scored away.
- ●72% of Gloucester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Malvern Town- ●Malvern Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●68% of Malvern Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Malvern Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●91% of Malvern Town's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Gloucester CityWAHanworth Villa3–1
Hanworth Villa3–1DHPlymouth Parkway1–1
Plymouth Parkway1–1LAMalvern Town2–5
Malvern Town2–5DHBasingstoke Town1–1
Basingstoke Town1–1LHEvesham United1–2
Evesham United1–2DAHavant & Wville3–3
Havant & Wville3–3–APlymouth Parkway27/10
Plymouth Parkway27/10–HBerkhamsted31/10
Berkhamsted31/10–AYate Town07/11
Yate Town07/11Malvern TownLAUxbridge0–3
Uxbridge0–3WHFrome Town2–0
Frome Town2–0WHYate Town3–2
Yate Town3–2LABasingstoke Town1–4
Basingstoke Town1–4LABath City1–2
Bath City1–2WHGloucester City5–2
Gloucester City5–2–HBath City27/10
Bath City27/10–ASholing31/10
Sholing31/10–HHavant & Wville07/11
Havant & Wville07/11Top Scorers
Gloucester CityA. Hemmings7 ⚽
L. Cross2 ⚽
J. Hanks2 ⚽
K. Thomas2 ⚽
E. Dunbar1 ⚽
K. Hill1 ⚽
Malvern TownH. Clark7 ⚽
J. Tumelty3 ⚽
S. Clark3 ⚽
K. J. Chong1 ⚽
L. Payne1 ⚽
M. Fulloway1 ⚽
Cards Given
Gloucester CityB. Nugent1 🟨
H Emmett1 🟨
J. Thompson1 🟨
Michael O'Regan1 🟨
Malvern TownD. Molyneux1 🟨