Malvern Town vs Chichester City — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Malvern Town and Chichester City meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Malvern Town have recorded 3 wins from 19 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 2.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Chichester City have won 53% of their 17 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Malvern Town and 1.40 for Chichester City. The models give Malvern Town a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chichester City win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Malvern Town—
Chichester City19º
Position
6º
0.85
PPG
1.69
23%
Win %
54%
1.46
Goals / game
1.77
2.62
Conceded / game
1.62
58%
BTTS %
65%
16%
Clean sheet %
18%
74%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Malvern Town
Home (6)
—
Chichester City
Away (7)
1.67
PPG
1.29
50%
Win %
43%
2.17
Goals / game
1.00
1.83
Conceded / game
1.86
75%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
20%
75%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Chichester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 88% | 45% | 82% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 50% | 18% | 59% | 86% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 35% | 57% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 13% | 55% | 18% | 0% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Chichester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 88% | 82% | 82% | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 74% | 75% | 73% | 47% | 57% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 13% | 64% | 18% | 14% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Malvern Town | Chichester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 29% |
| BTTS | 58% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Malvern Town | Chichester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 74% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Malvern Town (H)W
Frome Town2–0
Frome Town2–0W
Yate Town3–2
Yate Town3–2W
Gloucester City5–2
Gloucester City5–2D
Redditch United1–1
Redditch United1–1L
Chippenham Town1–2
Chippenham Town1–2L
Wimborne Town0–3
Wimborne Town0–3Chichester City (A)L
Bracknell Town0–1
Bracknell Town0–1W
Sholing3–2
Sholing3–2L
Hanworth Villa1–2
Hanworth Villa1–2W
Thame United2–1
Thame United2–1L
Uxbridge0–5
Uxbridge0–5W
Broadfields United4–1
Broadfields United4–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 |  Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth Parkway | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +14 | 23 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 | Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 | Wimborne Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 11 |  Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 |  Evesham United | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  Havant & Wville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
Team Insights
Malvern Town- ●Malvern Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●68% of Malvern Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Malvern Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●91% of Malvern Town's points have been earned at home.
Chichester City- ●Chichester City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Chichester City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chichester City have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chichester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chichester City have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Chichester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chichester City have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Chichester City's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Malvern TownLAUxbridge0–3
Uxbridge0–3WHFrome Town2–0
Frome Town2–0WHYate Town3–2
Yate Town3–2LABasingstoke Town1–4
Basingstoke Town1–4LABath City1–2
Bath City1–2WHGloucester City5–2
Gloucester City5–2–HBath City27/10
Bath City27/10–ASholing31/10
Sholing31/10–HHavant & Wville07/11
Havant & Wville07/11Chichester CityWHBerkhamsted3–1
Berkhamsted3–1LABracknell Town0–1
Bracknell Town0–1WASholing3–2
Sholing3–2WHPlymouth Parkway3–1
Plymouth Parkway3–1LAHanworth Villa1–2
Hanworth Villa1–2DHChertsey Town2–2
Chertsey Town2–2–HHanworth Villa27/10
Hanworth Villa27/10–AFrome Town31/10
Frome Town31/10–HBath City07/11
Bath City07/11Top Scorers
Malvern TownH. Clark7 ⚽
J. Tumelty3 ⚽
S. Clark3 ⚽
K. J. Chong1 ⚽
L. Payne1 ⚽
M. Fulloway1 ⚽
Chichester CityH. Bridle8 ⚽
B. Chebby4 ⚽
I. Bello4 ⚽
E. Dunn1 ⚽
B. Pashley1 ⚽
R. Davidson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Malvern TownD. Molyneux1 🟨
Chichester City