Basingstoke Town vs Gloucester City — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Basingstoke Town and Gloucester City meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Basingstoke Town have recorded 5 wins from 20 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Gloucester City have won 38% of their 24 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Basingstoke Town and 1.57 for Gloucester City. The models give Basingstoke Town a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gloucester City win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Basingstoke Town | Home | Away | Gloucester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 78% | 73% | 79% | 73% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 56% | 36% | 46% | 27% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 11% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Basingstoke Town | Home | Away | Gloucester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 78% | 91% | 71% | 82% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 64% | 29% | 27% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 22% | 36% | 13% | 0% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 22% | 9% | 29% | 18% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Basingstoke Town | Gloucester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 13% |
| BTTS | 65% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Basingstoke Town | Gloucester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 32 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 31 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 30 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 29 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 29 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 26 | |
| 7 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | +2 | 25 | |
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 24 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 22 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +6 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 | |
| 14 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 16 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 15 | |
| 16 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 | |
| 18 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -18 | 14 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 | |
| 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 12 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 | |
| 22 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Basingstoke Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Basingstoke Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Basingstoke Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Basingstoke Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Basingstoke Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Basingstoke Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Basingstoke Town have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Basingstoke Town have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Basingstoke Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Basingstoke Town have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Gloucester City have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gloucester City have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gloucester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gloucester City have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Gloucester City's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Gloucester City's goals conceded were conceded away.