Hanworth Villa vs Malvern Town — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Hanworth Villa and Malvern Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Hanworth Villa have recorded 16 wins from 25 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.28 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Malvern Town have won 19% of their 21 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.66 for Hanworth Villa and 1.26 for Malvern Town. The models give Hanworth Villa a 66% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Malvern Town win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hanworth Villa | Home | Away | Malvern Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 73% | 67% | 89% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 68% | 86% | 45% | 33% | 44% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 43% | 18% | 10% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 11% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Hanworth Villa | Home | Away | Malvern Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 86% | 73% | 81% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 36% | 18% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 14% | 9% | 43% | 11% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 14% | 27% | 19% | 22% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hanworth Villa | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS | 72% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 48% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hanworth Villa | Malvern Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 72% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +17 | 33 | |
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +11 | 32 | |
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 31 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 29 | |
| 5 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 29 | |
| 6 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | +3 | 28 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 26 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 24 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 20 | |
| 11 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +6 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 17 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 | |
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 16 | |
| 16 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -13 | 16 | |
| 17 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -11 | 15 | |
| 18 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 15 | |
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 15 | |
| 20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 12 | |
| 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Team Insights
- ●Hanworth Villa have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Hanworth Villa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Malvern Town have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●64% of Malvern Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Malvern Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●93% of Malvern Town's points have been earned at home.