Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses — Liga 3
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Mafra and CF Os Belenenses meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Mafra have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. CF Os Belenenses have won 70% of their 10 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Mafra and 1.26 for CF Os Belenenses. The models give Mafra a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an CF Os Belenenses win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
MafraCF Os BelenensesHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mafra | Home | Away | CF Os | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Mafra | Home | Away | CF Os | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 25% | 83% | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 67% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% | 40% | 75% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mafra | CF Os | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mafra | CF Os | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 70% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Mafra (H)
Tirsense2–2
SC Covilha1–0
Vitória de Sernache5–0
Alverca1–0
Academica3–3
Trofense1–0CF Os (A)
Beira-Mar2–0Vitória de Sernache3–1
Lusitano Évora 19112–1
Louletano3–1
Benfica1–5Alverca1–2Head to Head · 6 matches
MafraCF Os BelenensesMafraCF Os BelenensesCF Os BelenensesMafra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 |  União Santarém | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 9 |  São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mafra- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Mafra have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Mafra have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Mafra have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Mafra's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of Mafra's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mafra have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
CF Os- ●CF Os Belenenses have won their last 5 matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have won their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
MafraOliveirense1–2SC Covilha1–0Lusitano Évora 19111–2Atlético CP1–1Vitória de Sernache5–0CF Os Belenenses11/10Caldas25/10Louletano01/11CF OsAtlético CP1–0Vitória de Sernache3–1União Santarém5–0Louletano3–1Caldas1–0Mafra11/10SC Covilha25/10Oliveirense01/11Top Scorers
MafraCF OsCards Given
MafraCF Os