Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 7

Caldas

7º · 1.17 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 0h

–

Mafra

4º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 6d 0h

Campo da Mata·Caldas da Rainha·Portugal·13,000

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Caldas and Mafra meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Caldas have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Mafra have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Caldas and 1.18 for Mafra. The models give Caldas a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Mafra win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Caldas

—

Mafra

7º

Position

4º

1.17

PPG

1.33

33%

Win %

33%

1.00

Goals / game

1.83

1.50

Conceded / game

1.17

50%

BTTS %

67%

38%

Clean sheet %

33%

50%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Caldas

Home (3)

—

Mafra

Away (3)

1.33

PPG

0.33

33%

Win %

1.33

Goals / game

1.00

1.33

Conceded / game

1.67

60%

BTTS %

83%

40%

Clean sheet %

17%

60%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Caldas	Home	Away	Mafra	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	75%	80%	67%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	38%	60%	0%	58%	67%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	25%	33%	17%
Failed To Score	25%	20%	33%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Caldas	Home	Away	Mafra	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	63%	60%	67%	67%	50%	83%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	60%	33%	58%	50%	67%
Over 2.5 Conceded	38%	40%	33%	8%	0%	17%
Clean Sheets	38%	40%	33%	33%	50%	17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Caldas	Mafra
Over 0.5	88%	100%
Over 1.5	63%	83%
Over 2.5	50%	67%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Over 4.5	25%	33%
BTTS	50%	67%
BTTS & Win	0%	17%
BTTS & Draw	13%	25%
BTTS & Over 2.5	50%	58%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Caldas	Mafra
Win 1st Half	13%	17%
Draw 1st Half	38%	67%
Loss 1st Half	50%	17%
Scored 1st Half	38%	67%
Conceded 1st Half	63%	67%
Win 2nd Half	25%	50%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	33%
Loss 2nd Half	38%	17%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	75%
Conceded 2nd Half	38%	58%
Over 0.5 HT	75%	83%
Over 1.5 HT	25%	58%

Recent Venue Form

Caldas (H)

Vitória de Sernache2–0

Sintrense1–3

Louletano2–4

Lusitano Évora 19110–0

Academica2–2

SC Covilha1–1

Mafra (A)

Oliveirense1–2

Atlético Malveira3–2

Lusitano Évora 19111–2

Atlético CP1–1

FC Fredericia2–3

Esbjerg2–0

Head to Head · 3 matches

Caldas

Draws

33%

Mafra

67%

100%

Over 1.5

3/3

33%

Over 2.5

1/3

33%

Over 3.5

1/3

67%

BTTS

2/3

03/01/26

Mafra

4–2

Caldas

28/09/25

Caldas

1–1

Mafra

27/07/24

Caldas

0–2

Mafra

Liga 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Os Belenenses	6	5	1	0	+11	16
1	Paredes	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Atlético CP	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Leça	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	AD Marco 09	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Oliveirense	6	2	3	1	0	9
4	Vianense	6	2	3	1	+1	9
4	Mafra	6	2	2	2	+4	8
5	Fafe	6	2	3	1	+4	9
5	Louletano	6	2	1	3	-1	7
6	Varzim	6	3	0	3	+2	9
6	União Santarém	6	2	1	3	-4	7
7	Caldas	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	São João Ver	6	1	3	2	-2	6
8	SC Covilha	6	1	3	2	-2	6
8	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Trofense	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	Guimaraes B	6	1	2	3	-2	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	6	1	1	4	-9	4