CF Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha — Liga 3
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CF Os Belenenses and SC Covilha meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 25 October 2026. CF Os Belenenses have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. SC Covilha have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 14%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for CF Os Belenenses and 0.82 for SC Covilha. The models give CF Os Belenenses a 59% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SC Covilha win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
CF Os BelenensesSC CovilhaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| CF Os | Home | Away | SC Covilha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 40% | 71% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| CF Os | Home | Away | SC Covilha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 40% | 86% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 43% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 60% | 14% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CF Os | SC Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 14% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CF Os | SC Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 100% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 14% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
CF Os (H)
Arouca3–4
Atlético CP1–0
União Santarém5–0
Caldas1–0
Estoril1–1
Farense0–0SC Covilha (A)
Lusitano Évora 19112–2
Mafra0–1
Vitória de Sernache0–0Caldas1–1Lusitano Évora 19110–1
1º Dezembro2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
CF Os BelenensesSC CovilhaSC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 | Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
CF Os- ●CF Os Belenenses have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
SC Covilha- ●SC Covilha have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
Season Schedule
CF OsMafra2–2Atlético CP1–0Vitória de Sernache3–1União Santarém5–0Louletano3–1Caldas1–0SC Covilha25/10Oliveirense31/10Lusitano Évora 191108/11SC CovilhaOliveirense0–0Lusitano Évora 19112–2Mafra0–1Atlético CP0–3Vitória de Sernache0–0União Santarém2–0CF Os Belenenses25/10Caldas01/11Louletano08/11Top Scorers
CF OsSC CovilhaCards Given
CF OsSC Covilha