Pacos Ferreira vs Leça — Liga 3
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Pacos Ferreira and Leça meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Pacos Ferreira have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Leça have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.49 for Leça. The models give Pacos Ferreira a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Leça win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Pacos FerreiraLeçaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 33% | 100% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 67% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 83% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 33% | 67% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 17% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 17% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pacos Ferreira | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS | 44% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pacos Ferreira | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Pacos Ferreira (H)
São João Ver1–1
Fafe0–1
Varzim1–4
Paredes0–1
Felgueiras 19320–0
AVS0–2Leça (A)
Penafiel1–0
Mortágua2–0
Trofense4–1Paredes2–1
Guimaraes B0–2
Santa Clara0–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Pacos Ferreira- ●Pacos Ferreira have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Leça- ●Leça have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Leça have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Leça's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Leça's points have been earned away.
- ●Leça have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pacos FerreiraGuimaraes B1–0São João Ver1–1Vianense2–2Varzim1–4Paredes0–1AD Marco 091–2Leça23/10Fafe30/10Trofense08/11LeçaAD Marco 092–0Trofense4–1Fafe0–3Paredes2–1Guimaraes B0–2São João Ver1–1Pacos Ferreira23/10Varzim31/10Vianense07/11Top Scorers
Pacos FerreiraLeçaCards Given
Pacos FerreiraLeça