Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 7

Paredes

1º · 2.17 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 20h

–

Trofense

9º · 0.83 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 12d 23h

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Paredes and Trofense meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Paredes have recorded 9 wins from 12 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Trofense have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Paredes and 1.02 for Trofense. The models give Paredes a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Trofense win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Paredes

—

Trofense

1º

Position

9º

2.17

PPG

0.83

67%

Win %

17%

1.83

Goals / game

0.67

1.17

Conceded / game

1.50

67%

BTTS %

50%

25%

Clean sheet %

25%

67%

Over 2.5 %

38%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Paredes

Home (3)

—

Trofense

Away (3)

2.00

PPG

0.67

67%

Win %

2.00

Goals / game

0.67

1.33

Conceded / game

1.33

83%

BTTS %

60%

17%

Clean sheet %

20%

83%

Over 2.5 %

40%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Paredes	Home	Away	Trofense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	92%	100%	83%	63%	67%	60%
Over 1.5 Scored	58%	67%	50%	13%	0%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	50%	50%	50%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	8%	0%	17%	38%	33%	40%

Goals Conceded

	Paredes	Home	Away	Trofense	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	75%	83%	67%	75%	67%	80%
Over 1.5 Conceded	42%	33%	50%	50%	33%	60%
Over 2.5 Conceded	8%	0%	17%	25%	33%	20%
Clean Sheets	25%	17%	33%	25%	33%	20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Paredes	Trofense
Over 0.5	100%	88%
Over 1.5	75%	63%
Over 2.5	67%	38%
Over 3.5	50%	38%
Over 4.5	33%	25%
BTTS	67%	50%
BTTS & Win	50%	0%
BTTS & Draw	8%	25%
BTTS & Over 2.5	67%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Paredes	Trofense
Win 1st Half	55%	25%
Draw 1st Half	18%	38%
Loss 1st Half	27%	38%
Scored 1st Half	82%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	45%	50%
Win 2nd Half	36%	13%
Draw 2nd Half	55%	25%
Loss 2nd Half	9%	63%
Scored 2nd Half	64%	25%
Conceded 2nd Half	45%	63%
Over 0.5 HT	91%	75%
Over 1.5 HT	55%	25%

Recent Venue Form

Paredes (H)

Famalicao1–0

Maria da Fonte5–1

Fafe2–1

Leça1–2

Guimaraes B3–1

Lusitânia Lourosa4–2

Trofense (A)

Fafe2–2

Guimaraes B0–0

Varzim1–5

Vianense0–2

AVS1–1

Academica0–3

Head to Head · 6 matches

Paredes

17%

Draws

50%

Trofense

33%

17%

Over 1.5

1/6

17%

Over 2.5

1/6

17%

Over 3.5

1/6

17%

BTTS

1/6

07/12/25

Trofense

0–0

Paredes

23/08/25

Paredes

0–0

Trofense

11/04/21

Paredes

0–1

Trofense

10/01/21

Trofense

0–0

Paredes

02/02/20

Paredes

0–1

Trofense

31/08/19

Trofense

1–4

Paredes

Liga 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Os Belenenses	6	5	1	0	+11	16
1	Paredes	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Atlético CP	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Leça	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	AD Marco 09	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Oliveirense	6	2	3	1	0	9
4	Vianense	6	2	3	1	+1	9
4	Mafra	6	2	2	2	+4	8
5	Fafe	6	2	3	1	+4	9
5	Louletano	6	2	1	3	-1	7
6	Varzim	6	3	0	3	+2	9
6	União Santarém	6	2	1	3	-4	7
7	Caldas	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	São João Ver	6	1	3	2	-2	6
8	SC Covilha	6	1	3	2	-2	6
8	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Trofense	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	Guimaraes B	6	1	2	3	-2	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	6	1	1	4	-9	4