União Santarém vs Vitória de Sernache — Liga 3
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União Santarém and Vitória de Sernache meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 25 October 2026. União Santarém have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Vitória de Sernache have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for União Santarém and 0.97 for Vitória de Sernache. The models give União Santarém a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Vitória de Sernache win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
União SantarémVitória de SernacheHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| União Santarém | Home | Away | Vitória de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| União Santarém | Home | Away | Vitória de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 100% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 67% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| União Santarém | Vitória de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| União Santarém | Vitória de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
União Santarém (H)
GIL Vicente2–3
Lusitano Évora 19113–0
Merelinense5–0
Caldas0–1
Oliveirense1–1
Academica0–0Vitória de (A)
Brito1–0Caldas0–2
Nazarenos3–0Oliveirense2–3
Mafra0–5
Leça1–1Head to Head · 3 matches
Vitória de SernacheUnião SantarémVitória de Sernache| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 | Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
União Santarém- ●União Santarém have won their last 2 matches.
- ●80% of União Santarém's goals conceded were conceded away.
Vitória de- ●Vitória de Sernache have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●77% of Vitória de Sernache's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
União SantarémLusitano Évora 19113–0Louletano2–1Caldas0–1CF Os Belenenses0–5Oliveirense1–1SC Covilha0–2Vitória de Sernache25/10Atlético CP31/10Mafra06/11Vitória deLouletano1–0Caldas0–2CF Os Belenenses1–3Oliveirense2–3SC Covilha0–0Mafra0–5União Santarém25/10Lusitano Évora 191101/11Atlético CP08/11Top Scorers
União SantarémVitória deCards Given
União SantarémVitória de