Varzim vs Guimaraes B — Liga 3
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Varzim and Guimaraes B meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Varzim have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Guimaraes B have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Varzim and 1.07 for Guimaraes B. The models give Varzim a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Guimaraes B win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
VarzimGuimaraes BHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varzim | Home | Away | Guimaraes B | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 75% | 83% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 50% | 17% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 25% | 17% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Varzim | Home | Away | Guimaraes B | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varzim | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS | 60% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varzim | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Varzim (H)
Vianense1–2
Paredes0–1
Trofense5–1
AD Marco 092–1
CF Os Belenenses1–2Guimaraes B2–2Guimaraes B (A)AD Marco 090–1
Fafe1–1Paredes1–3
Chaves3–2Trofense1–1Varzim2–2Head to Head · 12 matches
Guimaraes BVarzimVarzimGuimaraes BVarzimGuimaraes BVarzimGuimaraes BVarzimGuimaraes BVarzimGuimaraes B| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Varzim- ●Varzim have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●67% of Varzim's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Varzim's points have been earned away.
- ●Varzim have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Guimaraes B- ●Guimaraes B have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
Season Schedule
VarzimSão João Ver1–2Vianense1–2Paredes0–1Pacos Ferreira4–1AD Marco 092–1Trofense1–0Guimaraes B25/10Leça31/10Fafe08/11Guimaraes BPacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 090–1Trofense0–0Fafe1–1Leça2–0Paredes1–3Varzim25/10Vianense01/11São João Ver07/11Top Scorers
VarzimGuimaraes BCards Given
VarzimGuimaraes B