Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira — Liga 3
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Fafe and Pacos Ferreira meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Fafe have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 54% of games. Pacos Ferreira have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Fafe and 1.08 for Pacos Ferreira. The models give Fafe a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Pacos Ferreira win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fafe | Home | Away | Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 80% | 88% | 56% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 60% | 38% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 20% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 20% | 13% | 44% | 67% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fafe | Home | Away | Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 46% | 40% | 50% | 78% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 20% | 25% | 44% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 54% | 60% | 50% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fafe | Pacos Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 11% |
| BTTS | 38% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fafe | Pacos Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 | |
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 | |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Fafe have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fafe have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●70% of Fafe's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Fafe's points have been earned away.
- ●Pacos Ferreira have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.