Leça vs Varzim — Liga 3
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Leça and Varzim meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Leça have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Varzim have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Leça and 1.28 for Varzim. The models give Leça a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Varzim win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Leça
VarzimHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leça | Home | Away | Varzim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 25% | 50% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Leça | Home | Away | Varzim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leça | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS | 30% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leça | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Leça (H)
AD Marco 092–0
Fafe0–3
São João Ver1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa0–0
Vitória de Sernache1–1
Bragança1–0Varzim (A)São João Ver1–2Vitória de Sernache1–2
Pacos Ferreira4–1
Trofense1–0
Tirsense1–0
Tondela0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Leça- ●Leça have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Leça have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Leça's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Leça's points have been earned away.
- ●Leça have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Varzim- ●Varzim have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●67% of Varzim's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Varzim's points have been earned away.
- ●Varzim have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LeçaAD Marco 092–0Trofense4–1Fafe0–3Paredes2–1Guimaraes B0–2São João Ver1–1Pacos Ferreira23/10Varzim31/10Vianense07/11VarzimSão João Ver1–2Vianense1–2Paredes0–1Pacos Ferreira4–1AD Marco 092–1Trofense1–0Guimaraes B25/10Leça31/10Fafe08/11Top Scorers
LeçaVarzimCards Given
LeçaVarzim