Trofense vs AD Marco 09 — Liga 3
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Trofense and AD Marco 09 meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Trofense have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. AD Marco 09 have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 27%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for Trofense and 1.02 for AD Marco 09. The models give Trofense a 39% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an AD Marco 09 win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
TrofenseAD Marco 09Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Trofense | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 60% | 64% | 100% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 20% | 18% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 0% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Trofense | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 80% | 55% | 25% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 60% | 36% | 0% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 20% | 45% | 75% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trofense | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trofense | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 63% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Trofense (H)
Leça1–4
São João Ver1–0
Varzim0–1
Guimaraes B1–1
Amarante0–0Varzim0–1AD Marco (A)
Farense0–3Leça0–2São João Ver0–0
Régua1–0Varzim1–2
Cinfães1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
AD Marco 09Trofense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Trofense- ●Trofense have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Trofense have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
AD Marco- ●AD Marco 09 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●90% of AD Marco 09's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
TrofenseFafe2–2Leça1–4Guimaraes B0–0São João Ver1–0Vianense0–2Varzim0–1Paredes24/10AD Marco 0931/10Pacos Ferreira08/11AD MarcoLeça0–2Guimaraes B1–0São João Ver0–0Vianense2–0Varzim1–2Pacos Ferreira2–1Fafe25/10Trofense31/10Paredes07/11Top Scorers
TrofenseAD MarcoCards Given
TrofenseAD Marco