AD Marco 09 vs Paredes — Liga 3
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
AD Marco 09 and Paredes meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 7 November 2026. AD Marco 09 have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Paredes have won 77% of their 13 matches, with 2.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for AD Marco 09 and 1.06 for Paredes. The models give AD Marco 09 a 39% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Paredes win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
AD Marco 09ParedesHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AD Marco | Home | Away | Paredes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 80% | 43% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 40% | 0% | 62% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 20% | 57% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Marco | Home | Away | Paredes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 20% | 71% | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 57% | 38% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Marco | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 31% |
| BTTS | 25% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 46% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Marco | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 83% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
AD Marco (H)
Fafe0–0
Maia Lidador1–0
Guimaraes B1–0
Vianense2–0
Pacos Ferreira2–1
SC Braga B1–0Paredes (A)Vianense3–3
Varzim1–0
Ermesinde3–1Pacos Ferreira1–0
AVS4–2
Santa Clara0–2Head to Head · 8 matches
AD Marco 09ParedesParedesAD Marco 09AD Marco 09ParedesAD Marco 09Paredes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 3 | Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  União Santarém | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Louletano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
AD Marco- ●AD Marco 09 have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●91% of AD Marco 09's points have been earned at home.
Paredes- ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Paredes have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Paredes have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Paredes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Paredes have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AD MarcoFafe0–0Leça0–2Guimaraes B1–0São João Ver0–0Vianense2–0Varzim1–2Trofense31/10Paredes07/11Pacos Ferreira28/11ParedesTrofense4–0Vianense3–3Fafe2–1Varzim1–0Leça1–2Pacos Ferreira1–0São João Ver01/11AD Marco 0907/11Guimaraes B29/11Top Scorers
AD MarcoParedesCards Given
AD MarcoParedes