Varzim vs Fafe — Liga 3
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Varzim and Fafe meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Varzim have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Fafe have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Varzim and 1.49 for Fafe. The models give Varzim a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Fafe win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Varzim—
Fafe8º
Position
3º
1.13
PPG
1.63
38%
Win %
38%
1.38
Goals / game
1.63
1.63
Conceded / game
0.88
58%
BTTS %
40%
17%
Clean sheet %
53%
58%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Varzim
Home (4)
—
Fafe
Away (4)
0.75
PPG
1.75
25%
Win %
50%
1.25
Goals / game
1.75
2.00
Conceded / game
0.75
80%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
56%
80%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Varzim | Home | Away | Fafe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 71% | 80% | 83% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 14% | 47% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 14% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 29% | 20% | 17% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Varzim | Home | Away | Fafe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 71% | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 40% | 43% | 20% | 17% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 29% | 53% | 50% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varzim | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 7% |
| BTTS | 58% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varzim | Fafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Varzim (H)L
Guimaraes B2–4
Guimaraes B2–4L
Vianense1–2
Vianense1–2L
Paredes0–1
Paredes0–1W
Trofense5–1
Trofense5–1W
AD Marco 092–1
AD Marco 092–1L
CF Os Belenenses1–2
CF Os Belenenses1–2Fafe (A)DAD Marco 090–0
AD Marco 090–0L
Felgueiras 19320–1
Felgueiras 19320–1LParedes1–2
Paredes1–2W
Leça3–0
Leça3–0W
Pacos Ferreira1–0
Pacos Ferreira1–0W
São João Ver3–1
São João Ver3–1Head to Head · 14 matches
5
Varzim
36%
3
Draws
21%
6
Fafe
43%
50%
Over 1.5
7/14
29%
Over 2.5
4/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
36%
BTTS
5/14
04/01/26Varzim
Fafe
1–0Varzim28/09/25Fafe
Varzim
1–1Fafe17/05/25Fafe
Varzim
5–3Fafe29/03/25Varzim
Fafe
1–0Varzim09/11/24Varzim
Fafe
2–0Varzim10/08/24Fafe
Varzim
0–2Fafe03/12/23Fafe
Varzim
0–1Fafe20/08/23Varzim
Fafe
0–0Varzim06/05/23Fafe
Varzim
1–0Fafe15/04/23Varzim
Fafe
2–2Varzim06/01/23Varzim
Fafe
0–1Varzim28/08/22Fafe
Varzim
1–0Fafe14/05/17Varzim
Fafe
2–1Varzim21/12/16Fafe
Varzim
2–1Fafe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 | Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Varzim- ●Varzim have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Varzim have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Varzim failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Varzim have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Varzim have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Varzim have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Varzim's points have been earned away.
- ●Varzim have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Fafe- ●Fafe have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fafe have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
VarzimLALeça0–2
Leça0–2LHGuimaraes B2–4
Guimaraes B2–4LASão João Ver1–2
São João Ver1–2LHVianense1–2
Vianense1–2LHParedes0–1
Paredes0–1WAPacos Ferreira4–1
Pacos Ferreira4–1–HFafe08/11
Fafe08/11–HTrofense28/11
Trofense28/11–AAD Marco 0906/12
AD Marco 0906/12FafeWHPacos Ferreira3–1
Pacos Ferreira3–1DAAD Marco 090–0
AD Marco 090–0DHTrofense2–2
Trofense2–2LAParedes1–2
Paredes1–2WALeça3–0
Leça3–0DHGuimaraes B1–1
Guimaraes B1–1–AVarzim08/11
Varzim08/11–AVianense28/11
Vianense28/11–HSão João Ver06/12
São João Ver06/12Top Scorers
Varzim5 ⚽
F. Silva3 ⚽
D. Rebelo2 ⚽
David Peres2 ⚽
Tim2 ⚽
R. Oliveira1 ⚽
FafeJ. Batista3 ⚽
M. Correia3 ⚽
L. Teixeira2 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Carvalho2 ⚽
Picas2 ⚽
Cards Given
VarzimBoloto3 🟨
3 🟨
R. Oliveira2 🟨
J. Couto1 🟨
Jordao1 🟨
Kaua Vinicius1 🟨
Fafe7 🟨
O. Ribeiro3 🟨
L. Teixeira3 🟨
P. Pereira3 🟨
J. Batista3 🟨
M. Correia2 🟨