Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP — Liga 3
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Vitória de Sernache and Atlético CP meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Vitória de Sernache have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Atlético CP have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.95 for Vitória de Sernache and 1.18 for Atlético CP. The models give Vitória de Sernache a 30% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Atlético CP win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Vitória de SernacheAtlético CPHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Atlético CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 33% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Atlético CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 33% | 50% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitória de | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 11% |
| BTTS | 43% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitória de | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Vitória de (H)
Varzim2–1
CF Os Belenenses1–3
SC Covilha0–0
Louletano1–1
Oliveira Hospital0–0
Atlético Malveira0–0Atlético CP (A)CF Os Belenenses0–1
Olímpico do Montijo4–0SC Covilha3–0
Lusitano Évora 19111–0
Estoril0–3Lusitano Évora 19111–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 |  Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 |  União Santarém | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 9 |  São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Vitória de- ●Vitória de Sernache have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●77% of Vitória de Sernache's goals conceded were conceded away.
Atlético CP- ●60% of Atlético CP's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Vitória deCaldas0–2CF Os Belenenses1–3Oliveirense2–3SC Covilha0–0Mafra0–5Louletano11/10União Santarém25/10Lusitano Évora 191101/11Atlético CPCF Os Belenenses0–1Oliveirense3–1SC Covilha3–0Mafra1–1Lusitano Évora 19111–0Caldas11/10Louletano25/10União Santarém01/11Top Scorers
Vitória deAtlético CPCards Given
Vitória deAtlético CP