Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP — Liga 3
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Vitória de Sernache and Atlético CP meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Vitória de Sernache have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Atlético CP have won 62% of their 13 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Vitória de Sernache and 1.17 for Atlético CP. The models give Vitória de Sernache a 32% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Atlético CP win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Vitória de SernacheAtlético CPHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Atlético CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 71% | 77% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 14% | 46% | 57% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Atlético CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 57% | 69% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 25% | 57% | 15% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 43% | 31% | 14% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitória de | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS | 36% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitória de | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Vitória de (H)
Louletano1–0
Varzim2–1
CF Os Belenenses1–3
SC Covilha0–0Louletano1–1
Oliveira Hospital0–0Atlético CP (A)Louletano2–2CF Os Belenenses0–1
Olímpico do Montijo4–0SC Covilha3–0
Lusitano Évora 19111–0
Estoril0–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Vitória de- ●Vitória de Sernache failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Vitória de Sernache's goals conceded were conceded away.
Atlético CP- ●Atlético CP have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético CP failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atlético CP have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético CP have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Atlético CP have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●65% of Atlético CP's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Vitória deLusitano Évora 19111–0União Santarém1–2Louletano1–0Caldas0–2CF Os Belenenses1–3Oliveirense2–3Atlético CP08/11Mafra29/11SC Covilha06/12Atlético CPUnião Santarém3–1Louletano2–2Caldas4–1CF Os Belenenses0–1Oliveirense3–1SC Covilha3–0Vitória de Sernache08/11Lusitano Évora 191128/11Mafra06/12Top Scorers
Vitória deAtlético CPCards Given
Vitória deAtlético CP