Caldas vs CF Os Belenenses — Liga 3
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Campo da Mata·Caldas da Rainha·Portugal·13,000
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Caldas and CF Os Belenenses meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Caldas have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. CF Os Belenenses have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Caldas and 1.69 for CF Os Belenenses. The models give Caldas a 28% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an CF Os Belenenses win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Caldas—
CF Os Belenenses4º
Position
1º
1.38
PPG
2.50
38%
Win %
75%
1.25
Goals / game
2.25
1.50
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
71%
40%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Caldas
Home (4)
—
CF Os Belenenses
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
2.50
25%
Win %
75%
1.75
Goals / game
2.50
1.75
Conceded / game
1.25
67%
BTTS %
88%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
67%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Caldas | Home | Away | CF Os | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 83% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 67% | 0% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Caldas | Home | Away | CF Os | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 50% | 71% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 25% | 29% | 17% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Caldas | CF Os | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 21% |
| BTTS | 50% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Caldas | CF Os | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Caldas (H)D
Mafra3–3
Mafra3–3W
Vitória de Sernache2–0
Vitória de Sernache2–0L
Sintrense1–3
Sintrense1–3L
Louletano2–4
Louletano2–4D
Lusitano Évora 19110–0
Lusitano Évora 19110–0D
Academica2–2
Academica2–2CF Os (A)W
Oliveirense2–1
Oliveirense2–1DMafra2–2
Mafra2–2W
Beira-Mar2–0
Beira-Mar2–0WVitória de Sernache3–1
Vitória de Sernache3–1WLusitano Évora 19112–1
Lusitano Évora 19112–1WLouletano3–1
Louletano3–1Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Caldas
14%
2
Draws
29%
4
CF Os
57%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
29%
Over 2.5
2/7
0%
Over 3.5
0/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
08/08/26Caldas
CF Os Belenenses
1–0Caldas11/01/26CF Os Belenenses
Caldas
1–2CF Os Belenenses04/10/25Caldas
CF Os Belenenses
0–2Caldas03/11/24CF Os Belenenses
Caldas
1–1CF Os Belenenses02/08/24Caldas
CF Os Belenenses
2–1Caldas19/02/23CF Os Belenenses
Caldas
0–1CF Os Belenenses06/11/22Caldas
CF Os Belenenses
1–1Caldas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Caldas- ●Caldas have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●70% of Caldas's goals have been scored at home.
CF Os- ●CF Os Belenenses have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●CF Os Belenenses have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
CaldasWASC Covilha1–0
SC Covilha1–0DHMafra3–3
Mafra3–3LAAtlético CP1–4
Atlético CP1–4WHVitória de Sernache2–0
Vitória de Sernache2–0WAUnião Santarém1–0
União Santarém1–0LHLouletano2–4
Louletano2–4–HOliveirense07/11
Oliveirense07/11–HCF Os Belenenses29/11
CF Os Belenenses29/11–ALusitano Évora 191106/12
Lusitano Évora 191106/12CF OsWAOliveirense2–1
Oliveirense2–1DHSC Covilha1–1
SC Covilha1–1DAMafra2–2
Mafra2–2WHAtlético CP1–0
Atlético CP1–0WAVitória de Sernache3–1
Vitória de Sernache3–1WHUnião Santarém5–0
União Santarém5–0–HLusitano Évora 191108/11
Lusitano Évora 191108/11–ACaldas29/11
Caldas29/11–HLouletano06/12
Louletano06/12Top Scorers
CaldasG. Chaves6 ⚽
E. J. Mucuana Lobo2 ⚽
2 ⚽
G. Pio1 ⚽
Goncas1 ⚽
CF OsBruninho8 ⚽
D. Horta Leitao3 ⚽
E. Barros3 ⚽
Nuno Tomas2 ⚽
A. Afonso2 ⚽
J. Oliveira2 ⚽
Cards Given
Caldas3 🟨
M. Palmerio3 🟨
G. Chaves2 🟨
D. Clemente2 🟨
D. Izata2 🟨
T. Serrazina2 🟨
CF OsA. Afonso3 🟨
Nuno Tomas2 🟨
Bruninho2 🟨
D. Ferreira1 🟨
D. Monteiro1 🟨
Diego1 🟨