Pacos Ferreira vs AD Marco 09 — Liga 3
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Pacos Ferreira and AD Marco 09 meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Pacos Ferreira have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 0.73 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. AD Marco 09 have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 23%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 54%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.12 for AD Marco 09. The models give Pacos Ferreira a 37% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an AD Marco 09 win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Pacos FerreiraAD Marco 09Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 43% | 100% | 62% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 25% | 23% | 40% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 57% | 0% | 38% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 71% | 75% | 46% | 20% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 29% | 75% | 31% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 14% | 25% | 8% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 29% | 25% | 54% | 80% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pacos Ferreira | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS | 45% | 23% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pacos Ferreira | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Pacos Ferreira (H)
Leça1–0
São João Ver1–1
Fafe0–1
Varzim1–4
Paredes0–1
Felgueiras 19320–0AD Marco (A)
Trofense2–0
Farense0–3Leça0–2São João Ver0–0
Régua1–0Varzim1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Pacos Ferreira| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Pacos Ferreira- ●Pacos Ferreira have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pacos Ferreira have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Pacos Ferreira's goals have been scored away.
AD Marco- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●63% of AD Marco 09's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Pacos FerreiraFafe1–3Leça1–0Guimaraes B1–0São João Ver1–1Vianense2–2Varzim1–4Trofense08/11AD Marco 0928/11Paredes05/12AD MarcoTrofense2–0Fafe0–0Leça0–2Guimaraes B1–0São João Ver0–0Vianense2–0Paredes07/11Pacos Ferreira28/11Varzim04/12Top Scorers
Pacos FerreiraAD MarcoCards Given
Pacos FerreiraAD Marco