Pacos Ferreira vs AD Marco 09 — Liga 3
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Pacos Ferreira and AD Marco 09 meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Pacos Ferreira have recorded 0 wins from 8 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. AD Marco 09 have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Pacos Ferreira and 1.17 for AD Marco 09. The models give Pacos Ferreira a 34% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an AD Marco 09 win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Pacos FerreiraAD Marco 09Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 33% | 100% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 67% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | AD Marco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 83% | 100% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 100% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 17% | 0% | 56% | 75% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pacos Ferreira | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pacos Ferreira | AD Marco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 14% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 13% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Pacos Ferreira (H)
São João Ver1–1
Fafe0–1
Varzim1–4
Paredes0–1
Felgueiras 19320–0
AVS0–2AD Marco (A)São João Ver0–0
Régua1–0Varzim1–2
Cinfães1–1
União de Leiria0–2Paredes2–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Pacos Ferreira| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 |
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 |  Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 |  Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 |  União Santarém | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pacos Ferreira- ●Pacos Ferreira have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Pacos Ferreira failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
AD Marco- ●AD Marco 09 have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●90% of AD Marco 09's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Pacos FerreiraSão João Ver1–1Vianense2–2Varzim1–4Paredes0–1AD Marco 091–2Guimaraes B11/10Leça25/10Fafe01/11AD MarcoGuimaraes B1–0São João Ver0–0Vianense2–0Varzim1–2Pacos Ferreira2–1Leça11/10Fafe25/10Trofense01/11Top Scorers
Pacos FerreiraAD MarcoCards Given
Pacos FerreiraAD Marco