União Santarém vs SC Covilha — Liga 3
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União Santarém and SC Covilha meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. União Santarém have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. SC Covilha have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.56 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 22%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for União Santarém and 0.97 for SC Covilha. The models give União Santarém a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an SC Covilha win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
União SantarémSC CovilhaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| União Santarém | Home | Away | SC Covilha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 57% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 29% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| União Santarém | Home | Away | SC Covilha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 57% | 100% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 14% | 75% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 14% | 50% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 43% | 0% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| União Santarém | SC Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS | 45% | 22% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 11% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| União Santarém | SC Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 100% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 11% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 11% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
União Santarém (H)
Vitória de Sernache2–1
GIL Vicente2–3
Lusitano Évora 19113–0
Merelinense5–0
Caldas0–1
Oliveirense1–1SC Covilha (A)
CF Os Belenenses1–1Lusitano Évora 19112–2
Mafra0–1Vitória de Sernache0–0Caldas1–1Lusitano Évora 19110–1Head to Head · 7 matches
União SantarémUnião SantarémSC CovilhaSC CovilhaUnião SantarémUnião SantarémSC Covilha| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
União Santarém- ●União Santarém have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●67% of União Santarém's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of União Santarém's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●União Santarém have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●União Santarém have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
SC Covilha- ●SC Covilha have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
Season Schedule
União SantarémAtlético CP1–3Vitória de Sernache2–1Lusitano Évora 19113–0Louletano2–1Caldas0–1CF Os Belenenses0–5Mafra06/11SC Covilha29/11Oliveirense06/12SC CovilhaCaldas0–1CF Os Belenenses1–1Oliveirense0–0Lusitano Évora 19112–2Mafra0–1Atlético CP0–3Louletano08/11Lusitano Évora 191121/11União Santarém29/11Top Scorers
União SantarémSC CovilhaCards Given
União SantarémSC Covilha