São João Ver vs Leça — Liga 3
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
São João Ver and Leça meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. São João Ver have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Leça have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for São João Ver and 1.29 for Leça. The models give São João Ver a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Leça win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
São João VerLeçaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| São João | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 11% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 11% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| São João | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 78% | 58% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 33% | 11% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 22% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| São João | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| São João | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
São João (H)
Varzim2–1
AD Marco 090–0
Fafe1–3
Sanjoanense2–1AD Marco 090–0
Paredes3–1Leça (A)
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Penafiel1–0
Mortágua2–0
Trofense4–1Paredes2–1
Guimaraes B0–2Head to Head · 1 matches
São João Ver| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
São João- ●São João Ver failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●São João Ver failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of São João Ver's goals have been scored away.
Leça- ●Leça have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leça have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leça have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Leça have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
São JoãoParedes1–2Vianense3–1Varzim2–1Pacos Ferreira1–1AD Marco 090–0Trofense0–1Guimaraes B07/11Leça29/11Fafe06/12LeçaVarzim2–0Pacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 092–0Trofense4–1Fafe0–3Paredes2–1Vianense07/11São João Ver29/11Guimaraes B06/12Top Scorers
São JoãoLeçaCards Given
São JoãoLeça