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Varzim vs Trofense — Liga 3

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Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 10
Varzim
Varzim
7º · 1.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 33d 21h
vs
–
–
Trofense
Trofense
10º · 0.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Varzim and Trofense meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Varzim have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Trofense have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Varzim and 1.17 for Trofense. The models give Varzim a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Trofense win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Varzim
—
Trofense
7º
Position
10º
1.29
PPG
0.71
43%
Win %
14%
1.57
Goals / game
0.57
1.57
Conceded / game
1.86
64%
BTTS %
44%
18%
Clean sheet %
22%
64%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Varzim
Home (4)
—
Trofense
Away (4)
0.75
PPG
0.50
25%
Win %
0%
1.25
Goals / game
0.50
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
80%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

VarzimHomeAwayTrofenseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%80%83%56%67%50%
Over 1.5 Scored36%60%17%11%0%17%
Over 2.5 Scored18%20%17%0%0%0%
Failed To Score18%20%17%44%33%50%

Goals Conceded

VarzimHomeAwayTrofenseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%100%67%78%67%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded36%40%33%56%33%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%20%0%33%33%33%
Clean Sheets18%0%33%22%33%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

VarzimTrofense
Over 0.5100%89%
Over 1.564%67%
Over 2.564%44%
Over 3.527%44%
Over 4.527%22%
BTTS64%44%
BTTS & Win27%0%
BTTS & Draw0%22%
BTTS & Over 2.564%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

VarzimTrofense
Win 1st Half45%22%
Draw 1st Half18%33%
Loss 1st Half36%44%
Scored 1st Half64%44%
Conceded 1st Half55%56%
Win 2nd Half27%11%
Draw 2nd Half36%22%
Loss 2nd Half36%67%
Scored 2nd Half45%22%
Conceded 2nd Half45%67%
Over 0.5 HT91%78%
Over 1.5 HT36%33%

Recent Venue Form

Varzim (H)
LGuimaraes B2–4
LVianense1–2
LParedes0–1
WTrofense5–1
WAD Marco 092–1
LCF Os Belenenses1–2
Trofense (A)
LParedes0–4
DFafe2–2
DGuimaraes B0–0
LVarzim1–5
LVianense0–2
DAVS1–1

Head to Head · 13 matches

5
Varzim
38%
1
Draws
8%
7
Trofense
54%
62%
Over 1.5
8/13
54%
Over 2.5
7/13
31%
Over 3.5
4/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
29/08/26
Varzim
5–1
Trofense
09/08/26
Trofense
0–1
Varzim
18/04/26
Trofense
0–1
Varzim
21/02/26
Varzim
2–0
Trofense
20/12/25
Varzim
0–1
Trofense
11/10/25
Trofense
2–1
Varzim
30/08/25
Trofense
5–1
Varzim
18/01/25
Varzim
2–1
Trofense
06/10/24
Trofense
3–2
Varzim
16/12/23
Varzim
1–2
Trofense
03/09/23
Trofense
0–0
Varzim
25/04/22
Trofense
1–0
Varzim
12/12/21
Varzim
1–3
Trofense
Liga 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1CF Os Belenenses7520+1117
1Paredes7511+816
2Atlético CP7421+814
2AD Marco 097322+111
3Fafe7241+410
3Oliveirense7241010
4Leça7313010
4União Santarém7313-310
5São João Ver723209
5Mafra7232+49
6Vianense7232-19
6Louletano7223-18
7Varzim730409
7Caldas7223-38
8Pacos Ferreira7223-38
8SC Covilha7142-27
9Guimaraes B722308
9Lusitano Évora 19117133-46
10Trofense7124-95
10Vitória de Sernache7115-104

Team Insights

Varzim
  • ●Varzim have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Varzim have lost their last 4 matches.
  • ●Varzim failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Varzim have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Varzim have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●73% of Varzim's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●67% of Varzim's points have been earned away.
  • ●Varzim have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Trofense
  • ●Trofense have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Trofense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Trofense have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
VarzimVarzim
LHGuimaraes B9º2–4
LASão João Ver5º1–2
LAVitória de Sernache1–2
LHVianense6º1–2
LHParedes1º0–1
WHTrofense5–1
WAPacos Ferreira8º4–1
WHAD Marco 092º2–1
WATrofense10º1–0
WATirsense1–0
TrofenseTrofense
LAParedes1º0–4
DAFafe3º2–2
LHLeça4º1–4
DAGuimaraes B9º0–0
LAVarzim1–5
WHSão João Ver5º1–0
LAVianense6º0–2
LHVarzim7º0–1
DAAVS1–1
LAAcademica3º0–3

Season Schedule

Varzim
LHGuimaraes B2–4
LASão João Ver1–2
LHVianense1–2
LHParedes0–1
WAPacos Ferreira4–1
WHAD Marco 092–1
–ALeça31/10
–HFafe08/11
–HTrofense28/11
Trofense
LAParedes0–4
DAFafe2–2
LHLeça1–4
DAGuimaraes B0–0
WHSão João Ver1–0
LAVianense0–2
–HAD Marco 0931/10
–APacos Ferreira08/11
–AVarzim28/11

Top Scorers

Varzim
5 ⚽
F. Silva3 ⚽
D. Rebelo2 ⚽
David Peres2 ⚽
Tim2 ⚽
R. Oliveira1 ⚽
Trofense
2 ⚽
J. Gunjo1 ⚽
Lucca Carvalho1 ⚽
Nuninho1 ⚽
T. Oliveira1 ⚽

Cards Given

Varzim
3 🟨
Boloto2 🟨
R. Oliveira2 🟨
Jordao1 🟨
Kaua Vinicius1 🟨
L. Filipe1 🟨
Trofense
9 🟨
J. Gunjo4 🟨
T. Oliveira3 🟨
S. Ufala3 🟨
J. Oliveira2 🟨
Luis Miguel1 🟨