Guimaraes B vs Paredes — Liga 3
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Guimaraes B and Paredes meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Guimaraes B have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Paredes have won 77% of their 13 matches, with 2.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Guimaraes B and 1.15 for Paredes. The models give Guimaraes B a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Paredes win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Guimaraes B—
Paredes9º
Position
1º
1.14
PPG
2.29
29%
Win %
71%
1.14
Goals / game
2.14
1.14
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
62%
25%
Clean sheet %
31%
38%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Guimaraes B
Home (3)
—
Paredes
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
2.33
33%
Win %
67%
0.67
Goals / game
1.67
0.33
Conceded / game
1.00
0%
BTTS %
50%
67%
Clean sheet %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Guimaraes B | Home | Away | Paredes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 33% | 80% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 40% | 62% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 0% | 40% | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 67% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Guimaraes B | Home | Away | Paredes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 33% | 100% | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 0% | 60% | 38% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 67% | 0% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guimaraes B | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 31% |
| BTTS | 50% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 46% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guimaraes B | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 83% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Guimaraes B (H)L
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Pacos Ferreira0–1D
Trofense0–0
Trofense0–0W
Leça2–0
Leça2–0L
Amarante1–3
Amarante1–3L
Mafra0–2
Mafra0–2D
União Santarém1–1
União Santarém1–1Paredes (A)D
Vianense3–3
Vianense3–3W
Varzim1–0
Varzim1–0W
Ermesinde3–1
Ermesinde3–1WPacos Ferreira1–0
Pacos Ferreira1–0W
AVS4–2
AVS4–2L
Santa Clara0–2
Santa Clara0–2Head to Head · 13 matches
3
Guimaraes B
23%
4
Draws
31%
6
Paredes
46%
69%
Over 1.5
9/13
38%
Over 2.5
5/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
07/08/26Guimaraes B
Paredes
3–1Guimaraes B21/12/25Paredes
Guimaraes B
1–3Paredes24/09/25Guimaraes B
Paredes
1–1Guimaraes B18/05/25Guimaraes B
Paredes
0–2Guimaraes B27/04/25Paredes
Guimaraes B
3–3Paredes16/02/25Paredes
Guimaraes B
2–1Paredes04/10/24Guimaraes B
Paredes
0–1Guimaraes B07/04/24Paredes
Guimaraes B
0–2Paredes17/12/23Guimaraes B
Paredes
2–1Guimaraes B29/04/23Guimaraes B
Paredes
0–0Guimaraes B08/04/23Paredes
Guimaraes B
0–1Paredes13/01/23Guimaraes B
Paredes
1–1Guimaraes B04/09/22Paredes
Guimaraes B
0–1Paredes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | União Santarém | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Louletano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Guimaraes B- ●75% of Guimaraes B's goals have been scored away.
- ●87% of Guimaraes B's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Guimaraes B have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Paredes- ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Paredes have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Paredes have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Paredes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Paredes have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Guimaraes BWAVarzim4–2
Varzim4–2LHPacos Ferreira0–1
Pacos Ferreira0–1LAAD Marco 090–1
AD Marco 090–1DHTrofense0–0
Trofense0–0DAFafe1–1
Fafe1–1WHLeça2–0
Leça2–0–HVianense01/11
Vianense01/11–ASão João Ver07/11
São João Ver07/11–HParedes29/11
Paredes29/11ParedesWHTrofense4–0
Trofense4–0DAVianense3–3
Vianense3–3WHFafe2–1
Fafe2–1WAVarzim1–0
Varzim1–0LHLeça1–2
Leça1–2WAPacos Ferreira1–0
Pacos Ferreira1–0–HSão João Ver01/11
São João Ver01/11–AAD Marco 0907/11
AD Marco 0907/11–AGuimaraes B29/11
Guimaraes B29/11Top Scorers
Guimaraes BM. Tepe5 ⚽
Jota1 ⚽
R. Macedo1 ⚽
R. Rocha1 ⚽
ParedesF. Canario5 ⚽
F. Almara4 ⚽
Miguel3 ⚽
Erik3 ⚽
D. Rodrigues3 ⚽
J. Yuk2 ⚽
Cards Given
Guimaraes BRodrigo Silva3 🟨
T. Rodrigues2 🟨
G. Braga2 🟨
R. Rocha2 🟨
Rika2 🟨
M. Tepe1 🟨
Paredes3 🟨
Miguel3 🟨
D. Rodrigues2 🟨
Erik2 🟨
D. P. Duarte2 🟨
J. Vigario2 🟨