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Vitória de Sernache vs Mafra — Liga 3

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Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 10
Vitória de Sernache
Vitória de Sernache
9º · 0.88 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
vs
–
–
Mafra
Mafra
3º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 0h
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Vitória de Sernache and Mafra meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Vitória de Sernache have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Mafra have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Vitória de Sernache and 1.19 for Mafra. The models give Vitória de Sernache a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Mafra win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Vitória de Sernache
—
Mafra
9º
Position
3º
0.88
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
38%
0.75
Goals / game
2.00
1.88
Conceded / game
1.38
36%
BTTS %
71%
45%
Clean sheet %
29%
55%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Vitória de Sernache
Home (3)
—
Mafra
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
0%
0.67
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
86%
50%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Vitória deHomeAwayMafraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%75%71%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored27%25%29%64%71%57%
Over 2.5 Scored9%0%14%29%29%29%
Failed To Score27%25%29%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

Vitória deHomeAwayMafraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded55%50%57%71%57%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded45%25%57%57%43%71%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%25%29%14%0%29%
Clean Sheets45%50%43%29%43%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Vitória deMafra
Over 0.591%100%
Over 1.564%86%
Over 2.555%71%
Over 3.527%50%
Over 4.518%36%
BTTS36%71%
BTTS & Win9%21%
BTTS & Draw0%29%
BTTS & Over 2.536%64%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Vitória deMafra
Win 1st Half18%14%
Draw 1st Half55%64%
Loss 1st Half27%21%
Scored 1st Half36%64%
Conceded 1st Half36%71%
Win 2nd Half27%57%
Draw 2nd Half36%29%
Loss 2nd Half36%14%
Scored 2nd Half45%79%
Conceded 2nd Half45%57%
Over 0.5 HT55%86%
Over 1.5 HT27%64%

Recent Venue Form

Vitória de (H)
WLouletano1–0
WVarzim2–1
LCF Os Belenenses1–3
DSC Covilha0–0
DLouletano1–1
DOliveira Hospital0–0
Mafra (A)
DCaldas3–3
LOliveirense1–2
WAtlético Malveira3–2
LLusitano Évora 19111–2
DAtlético CP1–1
LFC Fredericia2–3

Head to Head · 1 matches

0
Vitória de
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Mafra
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
08/08/26
Mafra
5–0
Vitória de Sernache
Liga 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1CF Os Belenenses8620+1220
1Paredes8611+919
2Atlético CP8521+1017
2AD Marco 098422+314
3Fafe8341+613
3Mafra8332+512
4Leça8413+213
4Caldas8323-211
5Vianense8242-110
5Oliveirense8242-110
6União Santarém8314-510
6Guimaraes B823309
7São João Ver8233-19
7Louletano8224-28
8Varzim8305-29
8SC Covilha8143-37
9Pacos Ferreira8224-58
9Vitória de Sernache8215-97
10Lusitano Évora 19118134-56
10Trofense8125-115

Team Insights

Vitória de
  • ●Vitória de Sernache failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Vitória de Sernache have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●80% of Vitória de Sernache's goals conceded were conceded away.
Mafra
  • ●Mafra have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Mafra have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Mafra have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●63% of Mafra's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●73% of Mafra's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●83% of Mafra's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Mafra have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Vitória de SernacheVitória de Sernache
WALusitano Évora 191110º1–0
LAUnião Santarém6º1–2
WABrito1–0
WHLouletano7º1–0
WHVarzim2–1
LACaldas4º0–2
LHCF Os Belenenses1º1–3
WANazarenos3–0
LAOliveirense5º2–3
DHSC Covilha8º0–0
MafraMafra
WHLouletano7º2–1
DACaldas4º3–3
WHSanta Clara3–2
DHCF Os Belenenses1º2–2
DHTirsense2–2
LAOliveirense5º1–2
WHSC Covilha8º1–0
WAAtlético Malveira3–2
LALusitano Évora 191110º1–2
DAAtlético CP2º1–1

Season Schedule

Vitória de
WALusitano Évora 19111–0
LAUnião Santarém1–2
WHLouletano1–0
LACaldas0–2
LHCF Os Belenenses1–3
LAOliveirense2–3
–HAtlético CP08/11
–HMafra29/11
–ASC Covilha06/12
Mafra
WHLouletano2–1
DACaldas3–3
DHCF Os Belenenses2–2
LAOliveirense1–2
WHSC Covilha1–0
LALusitano Évora 19111–2
–AUnião Santarém06/11
–AVitória de Sernache29/11
–HAtlético CP06/12

Top Scorers

Vitória de
Henrique Cavalcante3 ⚽
Lucas Daniel3 ⚽
A. Dias2 ⚽
E. Moura1 ⚽
Mafra
12 ⚽
M. Niang6 ⚽
Rodrigo Matos2 ⚽
L. Neves2 ⚽
R. Matos2 ⚽
Leandro Alves1 ⚽

Cards Given

Vitória de
D. Tavares3 🟨
R. Embalo2 🟨
Matheus Matias2 🟨
G. Barge1 🟨
F. Garcia1 🟨
E. Moura1 🟨
Mafra
9 🟨
Lénio Neves3 🟨
Y. Maiga3 🟨
G. Cardoso1 🟨
A. Ba1 🟨
R. Moreira1 🟨