MatchPulse

Mafra vs Atlético CP — Liga 3

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Mafra
Mafra
4º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 49d 1h
vs
–
–
Atlético CP
Atlético CP
2º · 2.17 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 1h
Estádio Municipal de Mafra·Mafra·Portugal·2,900
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Mafra and Atlético CP meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Mafra have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Atlético CP have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Mafra and 1.10 for Atlético CP. The models give Mafra a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atlético CP win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Mafra
—
Atlético CP
4º
Position
2º
1.33
PPG
2.17
33%
Win %
67%
1.83
Goals / game
2.00
1.17
Conceded / game
0.67
67%
BTTS %
36%
33%
Clean sheet %
36%
67%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Mafra
Home (3)
—
Atlético CP
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
1.33
0.67
Conceded / game
0.33
50%
BTTS %
0%
50%
Clean sheet %
60%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

MafraHomeAwayAtlético CPHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored100%100%100%73%83%60%
Over 1.5 Scored58%67%50%45%50%40%
Over 2.5 Scored25%33%17%45%50%40%
Failed To Score0%0%0%27%17%40%

Goals Conceded

MafraHomeAwayAtlético CPHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%50%83%64%83%40%
Over 1.5 Conceded58%50%67%9%0%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%0%17%9%0%20%
Clean Sheets33%50%17%36%17%60%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MafraAtlético CP
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.583%64%
Over 2.567%55%
Over 3.550%36%
Over 4.533%18%
BTTS67%36%
BTTS & Win17%27%
BTTS & Draw25%9%
BTTS & Over 2.558%27%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%27%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MafraAtlético CP
Win 1st Half17%50%
Draw 1st Half67%50%
Loss 1st Half17%0%
Scored 1st Half67%60%
Conceded 1st Half67%10%
Win 2nd Half50%40%
Draw 2nd Half33%40%
Loss 2nd Half17%20%
Scored 2nd Half75%50%
Conceded 2nd Half58%50%
Over 0.5 HT83%60%
Over 1.5 HT58%40%

Recent Venue Form

Mafra (H)
WSanta Clara3–2
DCF Os Belenenses2–2
DTirsense2–2
WSC Covilha1–0
WVitória de Sernache5–0
WAlverca1–0
Atlético CP (A)
LCF Os Belenenses0–1
WOlímpico do Montijo4–0
WSC Covilha3–0
WLusitano Évora 19111–0
LEstoril0–3
WLusitano Évora 19111–0

Head to Head · 3 matches

2
Mafra
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Atlético CP
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
15/08/26
Atlético CP
1–1
Mafra
24/01/26
Atlético CP
1–2
Mafra
02/11/25
Mafra
1–0
Atlético CP
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1CF Os Belenenses6510+1116
1Paredes6411+413
2Atlético CP6411+813
2Leça6312+110
3AD Marco 096312+110
3Oliveirense623109
4Vianense6231+19
4Mafra6222+48
5Fafe6231+49
5Louletano6213-17
6Varzim6303+29
6União Santarém6213-47
7Caldas6213-37
7São João Ver6132-26
8SC Covilha6132-26
8Pacos Ferreira6123-45
9Lusitano Évora 19116123-45
9Trofense6123-55
10Guimaraes B6123-25
10Vitória de Sernache6114-94

Team Insights

Mafra
  • ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Mafra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Mafra have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●73% of Mafra's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●87% of Mafra's points have been earned at home.
Atlético CP
  • ●Atlético CP have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●67% of Atlético CP's goals have been scored at home.
WHVizela1–0
WHCaldas7º4–1
WHLagoa4–1
WHOliveirense3º3–1
WASC Covilha8º3–0
DHMafra4º1–1
LHBenfica B0–1

Season Schedule

Mafra
DHCF Os Belenenses2–2
LAOliveirense1–2
WHSC Covilha1–0
LALusitano Évora 19111–2
DAAtlético CP1–1
WHVitória de Sernache5–0
–ACaldas24/10
–HLouletano31/10
–AUnião Santarém06/11
Atlético CP
WHCaldas4–1
LACF Os Belenenses0–1
WHOliveirense3–1
WASC Covilha3–0
DHMafra1–1
WALusitano Évora 19111–0
–ALouletano25/10
–HUnião Santarém31/10
–AVitória de Sernache08/11

Top Scorers

Mafra
12 ⚽
M. Niang5 ⚽
R. Matos4 ⚽
L. Neves2 ⚽
B. Sambu1 ⚽
Xico1 ⚽
Atlético CP
Nicolas Souza7 ⚽
4 ⚽
H. Suker3 ⚽
C. Santana2 ⚽
M. Konate1 ⚽
J. Martins1 ⚽

Cards Given

Mafra
11 🟨
Y. Maiga3 🟨
G. Cardoso1 🟨
A. Ba1 🟨
R. Moreira1 🟨
L. Neves1 🟨
Atlético CP
6 🟨
R. Dias2 🟨
E. Pacheco1 🟨
D. Dinamite1 🟨
S. Traore1 🟨
J. Martins1 🟨