Oliveirense vs União Santarém — Liga 3
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Oliveirense and União Santarém meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Oliveirense have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. União Santarém have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Oliveirense and 1.02 for União Santarém. The models give Oliveirense a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an União Santarém win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
OliveirenseUnião SantarémHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Oliveirense | Home | Away | União Santarém | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 67% | 56% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 60% | 0% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 33% | 44% | 33% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Oliveirense | Home | Away | União Santarém | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 60% | 67% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 33% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oliveirense | União Santarém | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS | 63% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oliveirense | União Santarém | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Oliveirense (H)
Penafiel1–2
Mafra2–1
Penalva Castelo4–0
Vitória de Sernache3–2
Louletano0–0
Felgueiras 19321–5União Santarém (A)Louletano2–1
CF Os Belenenses0–5
SC Covilha0–2
Amarante0–1CF Os Belenenses1–1
Guimaraes B1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Oliveirense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 |  Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Oliveirense- ●Oliveirense have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●78% of Oliveirense's points have been earned at home.
União Santarém- ●União Santarém have won their last 2 matches.
- ●80% of União Santarém's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
OliveirenseSC Covilha0–0Mafra2–1Atlético CP1–3Vitória de Sernache3–2União Santarém1–1Louletano0–0Lusitano Évora 191124/10CF Os Belenenses31/10Caldas07/11União SantarémLusitano Évora 19113–0Louletano2–1Caldas0–1CF Os Belenenses0–5Oliveirense1–1SC Covilha0–2Vitória de Sernache25/10Atlético CP31/10Mafra06/11Top Scorers
OliveirenseUnião SantarémCards Given
OliveirenseUnião Santarém