Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 11

Paredes

1º · 2.17 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 57d 1h

–

Pacos Ferreira

8º · 0.83 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 56d 2h

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Paredes and Pacos Ferreira meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Paredes have recorded 8 wins from 11 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Pacos Ferreira have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Paredes and 1.15 for Pacos Ferreira. The models give Paredes a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Pacos Ferreira win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Paredes

—

Pacos Ferreira

1º

Position

8º

2.17

PPG

0.83

67%

Win %

17%

1.83

Goals / game

1.00

1.17

Conceded / game

1.67

73%

BTTS %

44%

18%

Clean sheet %

22%

73%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Paredes

Home (3)

—

Pacos Ferreira

Away (3)

2.00

PPG

1.33

67%

Win %

33%

2.00

Goals / game

1.33

Conceded / game

1.33

100%

BTTS %

67%

Clean sheet %

33%

100%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Paredes	Home	Away	Pacos Ferreira	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	91%	100%	83%	56%	33%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	64%	80%	50%	11%	0%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	55%	60%	50%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	9%	0%	17%	44%	67%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Paredes	Home	Away	Pacos Ferreira	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	82%	100%	67%	78%	83%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	45%	40%	50%	44%	33%	67%
Over 2.5 Conceded	9%	0%	17%	11%	17%	0%
Clean Sheets	18%	0%	33%	22%	17%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Paredes	Pacos Ferreira
Over 0.5	100%	89%
Over 1.5	82%	56%
Over 2.5	73%	33%
Over 3.5	55%	22%
Over 4.5	36%	11%
BTTS	73%	44%
BTTS & Win	55%	0%
BTTS & Draw	9%	22%
BTTS & Over 2.5	73%	33%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Paredes	Pacos Ferreira
Win 1st Half	50%	13%
Draw 1st Half	20%	38%
Loss 1st Half	30%	50%
Scored 1st Half	80%	25%
Conceded 1st Half	50%	50%
Win 2nd Half	40%	25%
Draw 2nd Half	50%	38%
Loss 2nd Half	10%	38%
Scored 2nd Half	70%	38%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	63%
Over 0.5 HT	90%	63%
Over 1.5 HT	60%	13%

Recent Venue Form

Paredes (H)

Maria da Fonte5–1

Fafe2–1

Leça1–2

Guimaraes B3–1

Lusitânia Lourosa4–2

AD Marco 092–2

Pacos Ferreira (A)

Guimaraes B1–0

Vianense2–2

AD Marco 091–2

Farense1–1

Lusitânia Lourosa0–2

Felgueiras 19320–0

Head to Head · 2 matches

Paredes

50%

Draws

50%

Pacos Ferreira

50%

Over 1.5

1/2

Over 2.5

0/2

Over 3.5

0/2

50%

BTTS

1/2

15/08/26

Pacos Ferreira

0–1

Paredes

04/08/24

Paredes

1–1

Pacos Ferreira

Liga 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Os Belenenses	6	5	1	0	+11	16
1	Paredes	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Atlético CP	6	4	1	1	+8	13
2	Leça	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	AD Marco 09	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Oliveirense	6	2	3	1	0	9
4	Vianense	6	2	3	1	+1	9
4	Mafra	6	2	2	2	+4	8
5	Fafe	6	2	3	1	+4	9
5	Louletano	6	2	1	3	-1	7
6	Varzim	6	3	0	3	+2	9
6	União Santarém	6	2	1	3	-4	7
7	Caldas	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	São João Ver	6	1	3	2	-2	6
8	SC Covilha	6	1	3	2	-2	6
8	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Trofense	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	Guimaraes B	6	1	2	3	-2	5
10	Vitória de Sernache	6	1	1	4	-9	4