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Leça vs Paredes — Liga 3

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Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 12
Leça
Leça
2º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 19h
vs
–
–
Paredes
Paredes
1º · 2.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 0h
Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube·Leça da Palmeira·Portugal·12,000
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Leça and Paredes meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Leça have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Paredes have won 77% of their 13 matches, with 2.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Leça and 1.28 for Paredes. The models give Leça a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Paredes win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Leça
—
Paredes
2º
Position
1º
1.43
PPG
2.29
43%
Win %
71%
1.29
Goals / game
2.14
1.29
Conceded / game
1.00
27%
BTTS %
62%
36%
Clean sheet %
31%
36%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Leça
Home (3)
—
Paredes
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
2.33
33%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

LeçaHomeAwayParedesHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored55%50%57%92%100%83%
Over 1.5 Scored36%25%43%62%71%50%
Over 2.5 Scored9%0%14%54%57%50%
Failed To Score45%50%43%8%0%17%

Goals Conceded

LeçaHomeAwayParedesHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%50%71%69%71%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded27%25%29%38%29%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%25%14%8%0%17%
Clean Sheets36%50%29%31%29%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LeçaParedes
Over 0.591%100%
Over 1.573%77%
Over 2.536%69%
Over 3.518%54%
Over 4.59%31%
BTTS27%62%
BTTS & Win18%46%
BTTS & Draw9%8%
BTTS & Over 2.518%62%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LeçaParedes
Win 1st Half45%58%
Draw 1st Half18%17%
Loss 1st Half36%25%
Scored 1st Half45%83%
Conceded 1st Half55%42%
Win 2nd Half36%42%
Draw 2nd Half36%50%
Loss 2nd Half27%8%
Scored 2nd Half36%67%
Conceded 2nd Half27%42%
Over 0.5 HT82%92%
Over 1.5 HT27%58%

Recent Venue Form

Leça (H)
WAD Marco 092–0
LFafe0–3
DSão João Ver1–1
DLusitânia Lourosa0–0
DVitória de Sernache1–1
WBragança1–0
Paredes (A)
DVianense3–3
WVarzim1–0
WErmesinde3–1
WPacos Ferreira1–0
WAVS4–2
LSanta Clara0–2

Head to Head · 7 matches

2
Leça
29%
3
Draws
43%
2
Paredes
29%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
23/08/26
Paredes
1–2
Leça
25/05/25
Leça
2–5
Paredes
04/05/25
Paredes
2–0
Leça
22/12/21
Leça
1–1
Paredes
24/01/21
Leça
0–0
Paredes
04/10/20
Paredes
0–1
Leça
17/11/19
Paredes
2–2
Leça
Liga 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Paredes7511+816
1CF Os Belenenses6510+1116
2Atlético CP6411+813
2Leça7313010
3AD Marco 096312+110
3Oliveirense7241010
4Mafra7232+49
4Vianense6231+19
5Fafe6231+49
5Caldas7223-38
6Varzim6303+29
6União Santarém6213-47
7Pacos Ferreira7223-38
7Louletano6213-17
8SC Covilha6132-26
8São João Ver6132-26
9Lusitano Évora 19117133-46
9Guimaraes B6123-25
10Trofense7124-95
10Vitória de Sernache6114-94

Team Insights

Leça
  • ●67% of Leça's goals have been scored away.
  • ●60% of Leça's points have been earned away.
  • ●Leça have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Leça have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Paredes
  • ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Paredes have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Paredes have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●67% of Paredes's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Paredes have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
LeçaLeça
LAPacos Ferreira7º0–1
WAPenafiel1–0
WHAD Marco 093º2–0
WAMortágua2–0
WATrofense10º4–1
LHFafe5º0–3
WAParedes1º2–1
LAGuimaraes B9º0–2
DHSão João Ver8º1–1
DHLusitânia Lourosa0–0
ParedesParedes
WHTrofense10º4–0
WHFamalicao1–0
DAVianense4º3–3
WHMaria da Fonte5–1
WHFafe5º2–1
WAVarzim6º1–0
WAErmesinde3–1
LHLeça2º1–2
WAPacos Ferreira7º1–0
WHGuimaraes B9º3–1

Season Schedule

Leça
LAPacos Ferreira0–1
WHAD Marco 092–0
WATrofense4–1
LHFafe0–3
WAParedes2–1
LAGuimaraes B0–2
–HVarzim31/10
–AVianense07/11
–ASão João Ver29/11
Paredes
WHTrofense4–0
DAVianense3–3
WHFafe2–1
WAVarzim1–0
LHLeça1–2
WAPacos Ferreira1–0
–HSão João Ver01/11
–AAD Marco 0907/11
–AGuimaraes B29/11

Top Scorers

Leça
Diego Fernandes3 ⚽
David Rebelo2 ⚽
R. Ferreira2 ⚽
N. Pereira1 ⚽
N. Reis1 ⚽
M. Miranda1 ⚽
Paredes
F. Canario5 ⚽
F. Almara4 ⚽
Miguel3 ⚽
Erik3 ⚽
D. Rodrigues3 ⚽
J. Yuk2 ⚽

Cards Given

Leça
6 🟨
C. Avelino3 🟨
R. Ferreira2 🟨
David Rebelo1 🟨
Berna1 🟨
F. Balde1 🟨
Paredes
3 🟨
Miguel3 🟨
D. Rodrigues2 🟨
Erik2 🟨
D. P. Duarte2 🟨
J. Vigario2 🟨