Varzim vs Pacos Ferreira — Liga 3
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Varzim and Pacos Ferreira meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Varzim have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Pacos Ferreira have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Varzim and 1.17 for Pacos Ferreira. The models give Varzim a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Pacos Ferreira win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
VarzimPacos FerreiraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varzim | Home | Away | Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 75% | 83% | 60% | 43% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 50% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 25% | 17% | 40% | 57% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Varzim | Home | Away | Pacos Ferreira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 67% | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% | 30% | 29% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varzim | Pacos Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varzim | Pacos Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Varzim (H)
Vianense1–2
Paredes0–1
Trofense5–1
AD Marco 092–1
CF Os Belenenses1–2
Guimaraes B2–2Pacos Ferreira (A)Guimaraes B1–0Vianense2–2AD Marco 091–2
Farense1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa0–2
Felgueiras 19320–0Head to Head · 3 matches
VarzimVarzimPacos Ferreira| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Varzim- ●Varzim have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●67% of Varzim's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Varzim's points have been earned away.
- ●Varzim have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Pacos Ferreira- ●Pacos Ferreira have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Pacos Ferreira have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Pacos Ferreira have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
Season Schedule
VarzimSão João Ver1–2Vianense1–2Paredes0–1Pacos Ferreira4–1AD Marco 092–1Trofense1–0Leça31/10Fafe08/11Trofense28/11Pacos FerreiraLeça1–0Guimaraes B1–0São João Ver1–1Vianense2–2Varzim1–4Paredes0–1Fafe30/10Trofense08/11AD Marco 0928/11Top Scorers
VarzimPacos FerreiraCards Given
VarzimPacos Ferreira